Alexandros Lordos wrote:They are well aware that if they start walking the TRNC recognition path, even de facto, the TCs might lose one of their major motivations for re-unification ... (i.e. the motive of escaping international isolation).
Dear Alex,
I respectfully disagree,
You are saying that all the sanctions on north is creating a motivation for TCs. SO they are rather a carrot more than a stick.
If we want to take carrot and stick analogy. The international world have always used the stick on TCs (hence sanctions) and carrot on GCs (hence saying that they can become a EU member without finding a fair solution in Cyprus).
They always thought that TCs were the intransigent party, and GCs always wanted solution so they reward GCs and punish TCs. Well we have seen the results of that last year.
TCs after getting the stick for the last 20 years agreed a solution, but GCs not being used to getting stick but always receiving the carrot, realize that that they do get the carrot all the time so why agree now, then wait later on and get more from settlement.
The reality is as simple as that,
I believe the best way to solved the problem all these years would have been "stick to GCs and stick to TCs" scenario, which actually really would have forced both communities to compromise.
Now what they are trying to do is to make a "carrot to GCs and carrot to TCs" startegy, which in my opinion will yield better results than what they have applied in the last 20 years as "carrot to GCs and stick to TCs"
By doing carrot/stick the international community have delaed extra cards to GCs in negotitationg table. And this extra card was the luxury for them to wait.
That is why I believe Cyprus will be solved simultanously at the same time with Turkish EU entry, if that is ever to happen. Because RoC is not in a hurrt, Turkey is not in a hurry (Turkey will never give up Cyprus card before EU membership is guaranteed which is another 10-15 years), so I guess we will have to wait another 10-15 years for the solution.
Have a great day