Kikapu
Thanks for your contribution VP. Actually, Birkibrisli did enhance on my original question, if you want to go back a page or two. So in essence, the whole recognition/ partition/annexation in your view, is to play with time, and time will take care of everything.
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Birkibrisli
Kikapu,
Can you clarify your question a little bit,so you don't get answers like Observer's. Correct me if I am wrong but, you are asking how will Turkey make the Partition or Annexation recognised by the World( UN/EU/USA etc),is that right?
If the above is Birs more to the point question then what I have to say on annexation first. If the pressure is applied to Turkey and she feels corned by the antics of the "RoC" via the EU, then we all know Turkey is very very unpredictable in a moment of desperation and in order to bring this problem to a close she can claim annexation, which from what you guys believe we have already but making this official will really depend on how far the "RoC" plus other factors push Turkey into a corner. It is also my personal opinion that Turkey is no rush to get into the EU, all shes wants is the EU perspective and minute steps towards union but this will keep foreign investment bubbling and flowing into Turkey.
Again recognition is not a top priority as I said before the GCs are their own worst enemy as both sides continue to play cat and mouse about sitting down and genuinely hammering things out time will erode any need for a solution, (the GC youth are a great example of this) to help stimulate this indirectly and over many years a relaxing of the isolation on the north has to take place as this does not bode well with the EU philosophy and don't forget the EU made a major cock up with bring in a divided and politically problematic country into the fold. They have mandated and gone on record committing themselves to solving certain matters such as direct trade. As everyone aware a comprehensive solution can only be found via the UN the EU can only take decisions keep their promises and encourage both sides to move in the UN arena. My opinion on the EU arena is the the south will ferociously avoid negotiations as they cannot afford another rejection this would bring partition even sooner and seeing that they are not genuine in what they say about a BBF the current situation will continue until a time when the GCs feel they are losing their grip and things are going against them or when Turkey is squeezed into a corner but imo the GCs should avoid this at all costs as the result due to Turkeys unpredictability may turn out unreversable negative for the south.
So lets suppose it will take another 33 years to get recognition (not sure by whom exactly), and with economic embargoes lasting as long, what kind of place the "TRNC" will be I wonder, in comparison to the RoC, and what will that do to the "level playing field" to get the 2 sides together, even in a 2 state 1 country solution.
You make a big mistake of always comparing us to the south admittidly we are behind them economically but we are on a par and even ahead of other countries in the EU. Switzerland is ahead of the south, does this stop the south from striving to moving forward, should they all give up and just because the Swiss are more advanced, it just doesn't work that way. The level playing field which in essence is vital if we are to build trust and understand is very important and should not be brushed to one side because I may have stated before is TCs and not encouraged to work with GCs and agree a level playing field and have to fight for every little thing due to GC objections then the GCs are my enemy and why should I want to unite with them?
What would be a positive move from the south would be a them to agree to direct flights from say 1 country like the UK, help us work with us even attend the first landing, can you imagine the positive impact this would have on the TCs of the north. This would also help the TCs move away from Turkey and closer tot he south. But in order to take such a step you have to have vision and desire obviously these factors are missing in the leadership of the south.
Further more, don't you think, that if all possibilities of a unified Cyprus came to an end, that there will be some "militant" actions against the "TRNC". The reason why I mention that, is because of Israel and Palestine situation. As powerful as Israel is Militarily, I think the citizens of Israel, are always on their toes.
This is always a possibility but the Gcs have again shot themselves int he foot with the EU dynamic they cannot scratch their arses without asking the EU how will they wage a war? this goes against the EU philosophy and any insane skirmish would be quickly quashed either by the EU or the Turkish Army who not sit by idly and wait for the unfolding of such events.
You know my stance, which is 2 states 1 country, so I hope we can achieve that, before anything else bad happens.
Nothing bad will happen not in my life time or yours we will have more of the same lots of talk. If the Gcs continue to play the same game then the TCs are left with no alternative to try and improve their economic status and this is done by stronger economic ties with the outside word, the Islamic nations have declared us a state, the EU is trying to keep it promises, planes have started to fly direct and time is passing which erodes the desire for unification.
Imho the ball is firmly in the GC court as they are the recognized part of the island and only be working with TCs can they move towards a BBF solution but everyone should ask themselves do the GCs really want this? and what have they done to achieve it?