If we look at history I have to say the answer to your question is:not very likely
I agree. It is close to impossible.
I think it a mistake to expect that we will solve Cypro totally and permanently in one step.
I agree again.
We can actually build the need for regular revisions of the agreement in the future,before any rights are signed away.That could be part of the agreement.We could even agree on independent tribunals to look at the workings of our system,and suggest positive changes.
I don't think tribunals and suggestions will be strong enough to change what we both agreed above that is impossible: TCs giving up something after it was signed away to them.
In the past, I suggested that the final solution can come in predefined stages. E.g. The agreement to say that from 2007 until Jan 1st 2010 it will be in the X way, then from Jan 1st 2010 until Jan 1st 2015 in Y way, and then the final will be Z implemented on Jan 1st 2020.
Since the changes will be pre-defined and pre-signed there will not be the issue of somebody taking too much and then naturally refusing to give up anything.
Another possible way has to do with what you said about the
need for revisions. To achieve this it means that
both sides should have the same strong need for revisions. This means that no side should get everything from the initial agreement. For example if GCs are imposed racist discriminations against them in the initial agreement (e.g. limit their freedom to settle anywhere within the country, or their democratic rights etc) then some racist discriminations should be imposed against TCs as well (e.g. TCs will not be allowed to trade certain goods, or practice certain professions).
This way, at some point both sides will
want to make revisions remove such racist and undemocratic parameters.
Even bigger mistake if we think we can solve it by force of arms. That would only create more pain and suffering which would lead to another period of false calm and peace,while people wait for the balance of power to change again before they make their move...That cycle is endless and most destructive.We need to break it now for the good of our country and future generations.
Bir, I agree with you. However you should keep in mind that even signing an unfair racist agreement, will not be the solution and at most it will create a period of false clam as you said. (or at worst bring the bloodshed even faster)
There are two ways of ending the circle of blood:
1) One of the two sides to be exterminated completely. This is Viewpoint's kind of "peace", were you kill and ethnically cleanse everybody, and then you have "peace" (it would be that way if they exterminated as all. Since they didn't, it was just one more round in the circle of blood)
2) To find a
fair[b] solution based not on what suits "us" or "them" but based on universally accepted principles like human rights and democracy. To have [b]one Cypriot people that
cooperates and not two conflicting groups that are trying to gain on the loss of another. Equal citizens with no racist discriminations but surely with full protection for the numerically less Cypriots so they can maintain and expand their linguistic, religious and other traditions.
If (2) doesn't happen, then another bloody conflict will be inevitable either an agreement is signed meanwhile or not.
To take it a step further, there are two ways to achieve (2) above:
a) For Cypriots to get smarter and realize that the Cyprus problem serves nobody and that expecting to gain on the loss of another will never work. Then they can join forces, revolt against the foreigners that control them, and agree the transitional periods that will gradually bring us to the desired fair solution.
b) For the balance of power to change in such a way that "fair" and "possible" will overlap.
In another post you said that you believed (b) is not going to happen any time soon. I agree with you. But (a) will probably never happen. There are much more chances that the balance of power will change than Cypriots getting any smarter (unfortunate but true). This is why I keep talking about the change in the balance of power and that this is were we should give our main emphasis and assist in this direction with whatever little power we have.
Many people think that when I talk about the change in balance of power and about being very strict with Turkey is because I want war. The truth is that war for me is the last option. What I want is to make the CY Problem as costly to Turkey as possible, and to bring Turkey in a situation were they will be
forced to accept a fair solution to the Cyprus problem. It is not easy, it is not going to work overnight, but I believe is the best realistic alternative we have.