pantelis wrote:Erol,
Personally, I wouldn't mind the above scenario. The TC would stop living in a place of lawlessness and the EU laws and norms would apply to the entire island. It will be up to the TCs to ask the Turkish troops to stay or go, then. At the same time, the GC would be able to claim back their properties in the north part of the island, through the European courts. Their cases this time will be against the TC state, not Against Turkey.
I think however Papadopolus (and many GC) might find such a 'solution' a bit hard tio reconcile with their previous wishes? After all if such a senario is not such an anethma for GC in general why has it never been proposed?
In my proposed senario EU member states would not be able to 'threaten' to recognise the TRNC and admit it into the EU - because RoC will still have a veto on any such entry (unless they deem it to already be in the EU even as a seperate recognised state, which I do not think would be possible?). However even if the TRNC was recognised as a seperate state and was admitted to the EU I do not think that would guarantee GC being able to claim back properties. At best they could sue the TRNC for their loss and at worst they would not be able to even do that. Why has the Irish republic not tried to use the EU courts to claim back NI (or Irish citizens whoses familys lost land to the British do similar), or spain claim back Gibralter. It seems to me and I may well be wrong that any formal recognition of the TRNC would spell the end of any chance of GC returning to property lost in 74, and very much reduce the chance of compensation as well.
pantelis wrote:Do you think that Turkey will ever stop controlling, openly or from behind the scenes, the TC "administrations"? I do not think I am going to live, to see the date! A truly independent TC state, is something Turkey will never permit to happen. The TCs will always be an extension of Anatolia, to the Turkish elite, directly or indirectly, in order to serve the Turkish interests first, and then the interests of the TCs, imo.
I do not think that Turkeys strategic interest in Cyprus is likley to disapear any time soon. However I think that Turkey would be 'happy' for the rest of the world to recognise the TRNC as a sovereign state. If this were to happen the links between the TRNC and Turkey would not disapear and neither would Turkey's ability to influence decisions made in the TRNC disapear. It may require a less direct control over events in the TRNC, but I suspect that enough control would remain to meet Turkeys strategic requirments, especially if it offered a way of removing Cyprus from the Turkish EU accsession talks. My understanding is that Turkeys' primary startegic interest in Cyprus was to not have it under direct or indirect control of Greece, rather than to have it under their own control per se. Under British control was acceptable to them. Under control of a shared GC / TC adminstration was acceptable to them (imo). Having it under sole GC control was not / is not strategicaly acceptable to them. Least thats how I percieve things.