rolo wrote:kikapu
i dont know about the figures but USA and Britain will soon have to leave - correct on that. Then the usual power-vacuum thing, probable (if not already) civil war. The eventual break-up , but whats stopping the USA siding with the Kurds and splitting the oil?
As Long as the Americans stay in the region, more intensified the terrorism will be. If you were a business owner, at what point do you say, "hell with this, it is costing me too much to keep this place open", so you will take your loses, and move on to something else. Well, America has been losing their shirt from day one, so it will not be worth for them to stick around, just for the oil. Besides, how would that look. Finally, the truth would be seen, that they could not give a shit about Iraq, but would only stay for the oil.
No, if all goes well on November 7th, and the Republicans get their butts kicked in the Mid-Term elections, Bush will do his worse for the next 2 years, to make as much money as he can for his Big Corporation friends in Iraq, then, it will be all over. Turkey will step into Northern Iraq, before anyone else can. America will get it's share from the Turks, so the warm friendship between US and the Kurds will be over. Had Iraq did not turn out to be a disaster, it would have been a different story.