This topic keep on coming up on every topic so I assume it is time to dedicate just one topic for itself. I believe this is one of the most serious concerns of GCs about the Annan Plan. So here we go we can discuss it here.
First let’s define who is a settler? I propose we devote the first one or two pages on agreeing on who is a settler and then later on we can try to find an acceptable solution to this sticky point.
It seems to me that GCs understanding and TCs (at least my and many of the TCs understanding of settler) understanding of settler is quite different.
Right now in north Cyprus there are four kinds of mainland Turkey origin people.
a) The ones that came here and settled and after some time received TRNC citizenship.
b) The ones that came here to work and actively seeked legal permit to work here. These are the ones that come with passport, and apply to have a work permit, and their labor is desired by some company in TRNC. This group do not currently have TRNC citizenship, but just a work permit, (just like an H-1 visa, for those who are familiar with US system)
c) Third group are the students that come to study in the universities.
d) Fourth group are the ones that come here to work, but they are illegal. These are the ones that do not come with the passport, and thus can not apply for legal work permit.
And of course there are Turkish Tourists as well, but I do not bother to classify them here. I assume GCs have no objection to tourists, but you never know.
Many TCs and I, refer to only group A. as settlers. These are the ones that mostly come after 1974 during 70s. And of course after the initial wave of these settlers there are the ones that come to settle every year, but those that come in every year, are very very much less in numbers, and are usually the ones that are in group B, but become citizen after certain amount of time. This is the main issue in every election time in north Cyprus, where some the group B, are given TRNC citizenship just before elections so that they can vote for the incumbent party. For example, I believe in the last election time there were around 1300 people ( I may be wrong on these figures) in this category applied and given citizenship and when Talat government come to power revoked most of their citizenship.
This portion (the ones which are TRNC citizen) of the mainland Turks, are probably 1/4 th (25%) of the active Turkish mainland origins. I assume there are around 45000-55000 (again its just a guess). Majority if this group around 75% came immediately after 1974 and have been living here for the last 25 plus years. They had kids born here, and some of them married to TCs. So when TCs talk about the settlers they only talk about this group.
I, and I believe most of the TCs as well, personally have no problem of kicking group D out immediately. They are illegal on the island even with the TRNC terms. This group I believe is around 15-20% of the mainland Turks.
The most sticky point are the ones in Group B. These are the ones that come here to work, and obtained legal work permit. I believe these are the ones should go as well once there is a solution. These are around 40-45% of the mainland Turks here on the island. After the solution, what can be done is that there work permit stop being renewed every year. So they will have to live, in this way they will be out of the island in one year time.
I have no problem with Group C, and I believe they should stay even after the solution. After all, these are the students that come to island only to study, and almost all of them return back to Turkey after 4 years of college. They are a major contribution to north side economy, and after the solution they can come to Cyprus as foreign students, like they go to UK, or USA. I mean they are on the island right now as foreign students as well, and are treated like that anyway. (Pay higher tuitions, pay different taxes etc, etc.) I believe these are around 20000.
So at anytime when GC sees a settler the probability of he/she is see in a settler that we call settler (group A) is only around I would say 25%. At any current time in north Cyprus I believe there are around 140000 mainland Turks, but what we call settler is only around 45-55000 of them. The rest has to go as I have explained earlier, with the exceptions of students.
In the context of solution, me personally I could even agree on the reduction in Group A. But the reduction should be done starting from the late comers, towards the ones that have come to Cyprus initially, let’s say the ones that become citizen in the last 10 years. Most of the early comers have no life outside Cyprus right now, there would be to much human cost of sending them back to Turkey. As I have said there is almost a generation among these up to ages of 35-40 that have either born here, or come here at the age of less then 10 years old, who have accepted Cyprus as their home. I believe it is not feasible to send these away anyway.
Also I believe every settler that has married to a TC should have a right to stay. Anyway any solution that does not accommodate those initial settlers up to certain degree will not be accepted in north anyway. The reason being, these group A are TRNC citizens, and they vote in referendum. There is no way that they will vote for “Yes” for any solution, if they have to move back to Turkey. This is just cruel realities of life for GCs, and this is another reason that time is working against them. This Group A is around 45-55000 people right now. And in the last referendum, a very strong majority of them had voted for yes because Annan plan was legalizing them up to certain degree. If they switch their vote to “No” that 65% yes vote will not be enough next time to pass the referendum.
Of course you may say those settlers should not vote anyway. This is between GCs and TCs. For that I do not believe there exist a mechanism to determine which settler become TC. That is a very controversial measure which will never be accepted in TC community.
There is also another solution as well. You can let the settlers stay, but strip them from their citizenship rights, so that they can vote. But I believe this is not feasible because as well, because I don’t think either GCs or settlers would have liked this. This, I believe does not serve anybodies interest.
Any way what is your comments after this long post.