metecyp wrote: all GC refugees want to return back or get compensated.
Obviously, most TC refugees do not want to go back to
the south. Nobody is going to reveal otherwise before a
solution.
Metecyp you are wrong that all GC refugess want to return.What they want is to get back the ownership of their properties.This does not necessarily mean they want to return.Like I said
there are polls showing the percentage of those who want to return to be very very low. I proposed if anybody is interested to tell me and I will search my files to find the link.I think(from memory) the percentage is about 26% among the
living GC refugees i.e about 13% the total i.e only 26,000 persons. And this includes all areas not only the areas under final TC administration.
I personally even predicted in the past that assuming the Famagusta area is one day returned to the legal owners, they will be looking around desparately to find people to fill it even at it's 25% capacity!!!
However nobody accepts the compensation method because this means his property has to be given to the property committe which in the end may compensate him/her with less than 10% of the real value. The option to let this happen anyway and also let the people go to the courts against the property committe or against the state is bogous as it will cause chain reactions with huge percentages of settlers and TCs getting properties almost free of change and the rest of the population (i.e the Greek Cypriot) paying the damage to the legal owner through heavy taxation, that most certainly will paralyse the state.
So the only way out of this is to let the matter the properties arranged between the people themselves via private deals. Any solution to the Cyprus problem just has to provide the framework of the course of actions regarding how these agreements will bocome reality the fastest possible.
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Alexandros wrote: In fact, the real percentage is 33%, which
is what will apply when Turkey joins the EU. 33% of
200,000 is 67,000 so theoretically almost all refugees
would eventually have the right of return.
Alexandre theoretical and actual are two different things.Please read the following old post of mine to realise the actual.
According to the Anan Plan some 8% of the land will be returned under GC administration.However for a refugee to return to his property, this should be free. A property is not free if: (a) if it is used for public purposes (School, street, governmental building, medical centre etc) (b) if it is used or required for military purposes (c) if it is used for 10 continuous years by a TC, and the Turkish Cypriot has his own property that he wishes to exchange (d) if the property has been subtantially improved by the TC or Settler user. (e) if it belongs to Organisations (that is to say companies, associations, institutions etc). This property will be compensated.
Based on the Anan Plan the matter of properties will be solved based on international law, the rights of the oweners (refugees) the bizonality, and the rights of current users (TCs and settlers). From there and beyond there are two groups of refugees
(a) those that will return in the TC Constituent state and (b) those who will return in the GC Constituent state.
(a) Return under TC administration
The Greekcypriots should not exceed the 1% of population of the TC Constituent state the first year of agreement, the 2% the second year, the 7% in the seventh year etc etc upto 20% in the twentieth year. (1% per year) After the twenty years (I believe finally they got reduced to 15) the return will be freer and the Greekcypriots can reach upto one third of TC population. However, because the return of refugees is connected directly with the regulation of the matter of properties, the return of these refugees is impended, because: according to the moratorium no property will be returned before the first 3-5 years. So, the first 4 years it will not be possible for the 4% of refugees (about 8000 people) to return. The Anan Plan is conflicting!
Furthermore: In order for someone to return he must get approval from the Council of Properties, which Council will accept applications for one year after the signature of the fundamental agreement and for another year after the implementation. That is to say the process of applications will be completed roughly two years after the signature of the primary Agreement. Then it will begin examining the applications… But once again, the poor refugee who will finally get approval, will NOT be eligible to return because there are another 3 conditions: a) The Council of properties must have decided for at least the 90% of the applications b) the percentages(1% per year) are met, and the applicants age gives him priority over other applicants and c) An alternative roof for the family that already lives in the house is found.
Tell me how many years are need for all these to happen, considering how many thousands applications this Council of Properties will receive, and how many thousands homes should be built before some refugees could finally return to their houses.
(b) Return under Greek-Cypriot administration
In order for a refugee to return the property must first be declared returnable by the Council of Properties. Provided however the property is used, then this property will only be returned when the present user is settled elsewhere. This process will last according to the Plan three years maximum from the signature of Agreement. That is to say in the first three years, the TCcomponent state is oblidged to accomodate the 40-45 thousands that live today in these regions. Where and how only God knows. Many of them will have the right to remain in the properties if they buy the property or get accomodated privately in the region.