turkcyp wrote:On the flip side, I do not see the EU exists in its current form for long anyway. EU will turn itself into tow regions. One central Europe where more integration and the idea of federal Europe has more support, most probably by countries like France, Germany, Benelux, Austria and may be Italy and Spain. Classical traits of these countries are their anti-Americanism, their social model, and their way of managing economy with huge state influence.
And an outer circle compromised of the countries which value their sovereignty and which does not want to be ruled by France and Germany, and the countries which are geographically distant and economically undeveloped compared to the central Europe. Most probably these will be countries like UK, Scandinavian countries, Ireland, Greece, Portugal and the recent new comers. Classical traits of these countries are their Atlanticist approach, their anglo-saxon model of economic development, and their distance from the core.
If Turkey makes it into EU, and that is a big IF, it will only be to this outer circle.
I don't think this will be the case. For one thing, assuming this "break up" will occur you have it wrong as to developed vs. undeveloped. Don't forget Spain and Italy's budget deficits are almost as bad as Greece's.
Also, from my understanding, the only country that keeps bitching about EU powers is the UK, or the EU's prostate cancer as I like to call them. If anything goes down in the EU it will be because of the UK.
