by Kifeas » Tue Jul 04, 2006 12:14 pm
Well, the units that were assigned for the coup, especially the Special Forces (com. raiders, etc,) plus all the GC non-commissioned officers that were sent to Greece, were mainly selected before hand (and since a few yeas before) and trained by the Greek Junta officers in Cyprus on these very grounds, i.e. not to be among the Makarios supporters. Furthermore, within the National Guard there was a lot of anti-Makarios, pro-enosis and anti-leftwing propaganda brainwashing by the same officers, in all units around Cyprus. As a consequence many young soldiers were influenced by all this nationalist rhetoric, and thus also many (not all) became willing to execute orders from these people. Besides this, I am sure you know that line soldiers in the army (any army,) especially when they are young, they do not have much of a choice in following orders from their officers. By the way, even the units that were used during the coup against the presidential palace and other posts, were not told in advance where they were going and for what purpose. This is true especially for the tank battalion that started moving from Lakatamia base to Nicosia for a presumed exercise, and only outside the palace they were told what they were supposed to do. It is for this reason that Makarios decided to ask from the Greek junta to withdraw the Greek officers from Cyprus about two weeks before the coup in a letter he sent to them, on the pre-text that he was going to cut with a law the service duration of the national guard soldiers down to one year, and thus reduce its numbers of the N/G to the half. He wanted to get reed of them and replace them with Cypriots, because of their conspiring activities against him and their material support to the Eoka B’ gangs. Rumors say he also had plans to arrest most of them in a surprise night raid from their camps and homes, using the presidential guard and other paramilitary groups such as the Lyssarides teams, ship them to Greece and replace them with Cypriot officers from the lower ranks, but it seems they moved more quickly than him and did what they were planning and preparing long before. Probably this was sparked by the letter he sent to the Greek junta asking for their withdrawal, through which he revealed his intentions and “compelled” them to move faster and earlier than him.
As for what would have happened to the Makarios sympathizers had Turkey not invaded, I really cannot tell for sure. I am sure some people would have gone “missing,” especially Greek Cypriots of the police and the presidential guard force that were previously engaged in torturing (and there was a lot of it) of all those Eoka B’ gangsters they were arresting before the coup, but I do not imagine this would have taken any massive scale. I believe so because of the international reaction, condemnation and pressure that already started as soon as the coup took place, plus the fact that Cyprus was located far away from Greece and thus Greek troops could /would not have been sent from there in any credible amounts to, in a sense, sufficiently and effectively occupy Cyprus like Turkey could do in the north, and therefore the Greek junta and their officers here would essentially have had to heavily rely on the "co-operation" of the Greek Cypriot public and the Greek Cypriot national guard, in order to maintain control and power. Therefore, logically assuming, it wouldn’t be in their interest to engage in any atrocities against a large section of the public.
To this end, I do not also believe they would have dared to moved against the Turkish Cypriots, since they knew their chances to defend Cyprus from Greece, in case of a Turkish intervention, were not very sound. Furthermore, the Greek Junta in Greece was already in very serious international and European diplomatic troubles, condemnation and pressure, even before the coup, and I suspect they would have been very reluctant in adding another such a heavy bag on their already shaking shoulders and spine, should they have moved against the TCs.
Now, all these are my personal speculations, based on a logical way of interpreting the situation and the climate -both internal and external, of that time and period. What would have happened in reality is something I believe nobody can really tell. The truth is that the prime, if not the only objective of the coup in 1974 was to overthrow and replace Makarios with someone (a puppet) that would more willingly obey their calls and orders. They used the “pro-enosis” sloganeering just in the hope that this would have attracted more sympathy and support among the GC public, rather than what would have been attracted by a plain and an only “anti-Makarios” one.