Lordo wrote:This is getting more curious by the minute.
When the Bayesian sank around 4 a.m. on Aug. 19, the waters in its area, about half a mile off the Sicilian port of Porticello, were transformed by an extremely sudden and violent storm, according to fishermen, a captain in the area and meteorologists.
But what kind of storm is still a mystery, compounded by the fact that a sailing schooner anchored nearby did not have its own disaster. Also unclear is whether the crew was aware that the Italian authorities had issued general warnings about bad weather the night before.
Karsten Börner, the captain of the nearby passenger ship, said he’d had to steady his ship during “really violent” winds. During the storm, he said, the Bayesian seemed to disappear behind his ship.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/25/world/europe/bayesian-yacht-investigation.htmlAdd to that the fact that
The co-defendant of technology tycoon Mike Lynch in his US fraud trial over selling his Cambridge company to Hewlett-Packard (HP) has died after being hit by a car on Saturday, his lawyer has said. It comes as Mr Lynch was confirmed as one of the six tourists missing on Monday after the Bayesian luxury yacht sank in a tornado off the coast of Sicily.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/other/missing-mike-lynch-s-co-defendant-in-cambridge-company-fraud-trial-killed-in-car-crash/ar-AA1p5SRC?ocid=BingNewsSerpThe plot thickens
Let me give you my knowledge in sailing as to why the Bayesian sank when other boats in the vicinity did not.
First of all, not all boats are built the same, just like anything else built in the world.
Many reports of the sinking have given partial reasons as to why the boat sunk, but not the complete reason as to why it sunk and no one has said anything what created the chain of events that led to the boat sinking. I will do it for you. Eventually, this will be realized in the final report of the sinking of this boat. This event is like an air accident where chain of event happens, that the holes in the “Swiss Cheese” model all line up leading to the accident.
There are plenty of faults to go around, from the design of the boat to the lack of understanding by the owners as to what is not safe on a boat. The owners rely on the professional crew to make sure nothing goes wrong while they enjoy the comforts of home on their mega boats with the least amount of disturbances by the crew. The owners and their guests are not sailors by and large, unless we are talking about Oracle’s Larry Ellison.
It appears that Bayesian was anchored in waters at 20-30m depth of water, which explained why 6 meters of her 10m keel was retracted. This would not cause the boat to capsize as long as the boat is pointing into the wind on anchor, however, my guess is, when the storm started and the winds and water started to rise and due to a large windage areas on Bayesian, she started to drag her anchor, drifting to deeper waters of about 50 meters depth. What no one talked about so far is, when the anchor drags, the boat is no longer points into the wind, but becomes abeam to the wind, which means the winds and waves are coming from the Port or the Starboard side. This is when things start to go wrong very quickly. With the huge tall and wide mast is now getting hit by the wind broadside along with the huge and wide main boom, and the keel retracted, Bayesian will just lean over effortlessly until the mast touches the water, all awhile water entering into the boat in large volumes from the gangways, port holes and open panels. She would sink in minutes.
The crew could have done few things ahead of time to prevent this tragedy. They should have had the engine running in case the anchor dragged, set a second anchor and increased the anchor chain scope from 7 to 1 ratio to the depth of the water, to perhaps 10 to 1 scope. Have extra persons on deck to help. Not surprising that most of the crew survived, because they the boats lay out and that most of the guests died, because they were just at home away from home. Most probably had too much to drink from the night before’s celebrations in winning their court case.
As for the co-dependent getting killed on land a day earlier, just bad luck really.
