repulsewarrior wrote:...thanks yialousa, interesting; and (despite some of your political views) as always way ahead of the curve.
30 Sep 2020
#Russian Foreign Ministry stated that "if the SU-25 shotdown was indeed an act of Turkey", then #Russia will send military to support Armenia
Biden tweeted that the Trump administration “must also demand others — like Turkey — stay out of this conflict,” as we report here.
Metin Gurcan breaks down the military balance between Armenia and Azerbaijan, and the pivotal role that Russia could play with both parties.
"From a political standpoint," Gurcan writes, "it seems fair to assume that neither Armenia nor Azerbaijan can use air power and ballistic missiles without Russian consent. Apparently, Moscow has not given the nod — at least for now — to the deployment of warplanes and ballistic missiles, a step that marks the threshold of a conventional war."
Despite denials by Ankara and Baku, there are reports of Syrian jihadis joining the fray, sent there by Turkey. Such an intervention by Turkey risks escalation with Russia, writes Fehim Tastekin.
"Turkey’s involvement in the conflict could be considered an attempt to shore up domestic support,” Tastekin writes. "But if Moscow comes to believe that Ankara has ulterior motives such as expanding its Turko-Islamist influence to the south Caucasus as part of Erdogan’s neo-Ottoman ambitions, it won't stand idle."
Meanwhile, as Turkish-Israeli relations go from bad to worse, both Ankara and Jerusalem are backing Azerbaijan in the conflict. Armenia recalled its ambassador to Israel because of Israel’s selling arms to Azerbaijan, as we report here.
Read more: https://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/origin ... z6ZpC6L964
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