Kikapu wrote:Paphitis wrote:Florida early voting:
Trump 2,014,110 votes
Biden 2,382,222 votes
Democrat lead is 369,000 votes and declining.
Florida is an interesting one. Statistically, Democrats need a 700,000 lead in early voting to have a chance of winning.
The pendulum however is swinging towards Trump.
Florida in the GOP column as well.
Any advantage of 5% or less is excellent for Trump as Democrats are polled to slit 2:1 on Election Day as GOP registered voters nominated to poll on Election Day.
But the early votes are not counted yet until November 3rd, so how do we know what the actual counts are for the candidates?
The only thing that can be counted are the registered voters from whichever party they are registered with, but not whom they have voted for. This alone is not a true presentation of the numbers you have posted above.
This applies to all the states.
Mail-in votes are even less predictable.
The most accurate pollster is the one I am about to post to you.
He was the only pollster to actually do a very scientific break down. he was the only pollster to be correct in 2016.
The other one you are not going to like is the fact Trump is going to win New Hampshire from the Democrats.