Paphitis wrote:Get Real! wrote:It’s not possible to create a vaccine against a virus that keeps morphing.
All keep morphing but we have managed to get on top of the common flu and other virus by changing the vaccines with different strains.
They can find a vaccine, it will just take a bit of time.
There is no vaccine for the 'common cold' (rhinovirus). The traditional 'reason' for this was because there were too many 'variants' of the virus (serotypes) but the most recent research and consensus is that in addition to this there is some as yet unknown mechanism that is causing the immune system to 'forget' that it has specific antibodies to the virus and even specific serotypes of it. This is all very different from the challenges with the flu virus, which has many less serotypes but does mutate very rapidly, meaning the specific antibodies built up after infection or induced by vaccine, whilst not 'forgotten' are no longer specific to subsequent infection.
We just do not know what the characteristics of covid-19 are yet. We do not know what the medium and long term immune response to infection (or simulated infection) will be. All possibilities are still on the table, from non mutating , life long immune response allowing a single shot effective vaccine through to highly mutating and immune response that 'forgets' specific antibody response (like worst of flu and Rhinovirus) leading to no possible vaccine or immunity after infections beyond a few weeks. Or anything in between.
Anyone who makes out that they know what will turn out to be the case is lying to you and almost certainly doing so with the intent to push an agenda be it 'keep lock down' or 'remove lock down' or anything else.
Paphitis wrote:It's also possible to eradicate it.
And regardless of immunity / vaccine and 'eradication' there is treatment that has already and will continue to get more effective, reducing morbidity and mortality rates over time. Which is another reason why simplistic arguments based just on 'immunity / vaccine' relating to 'lock down' or 'remove lock down' are not only based on the unknowable right now, even if such things were knowable there would still be a point at which delaying spread to allow time for improved treatment is worth the cost of measures to do so.