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Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Maximus » Fri Aug 02, 2019 5:51 pm

Robin Hood wrote:Maximus:
Yes, the company gains or loses from the rise or fall in its share price. The whole point of a company going public and issuing shares is to raise money. They then can use this money to invest in their operations and try to grow the business
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Absolutely 100% correct, well almost ......... however that scenario applies ONLY with the initial purchase of shares on the day they are traded! If you look at a share certificate it has no intrinsic value stated on it! Why? Because all it is is a receipt in return for the initial purchase of XX shares and has only a perceived value on the trading markets. If the MARKET value of those shares rises by say 50% the day after they trade, the Company does not get another cent. The holder of the receipt can cash in and sell it for 50% more then he paid for it. He made a profit out of the increase in price by selling the receipt ..... but no profit for the company!
Would you rather own a company who’s shares trade for $1 or $1000?

Value is of no significance it is just what you are prepared to pay! If I thought I could buy the shares for $1 and sell them the following day or following week for $1.50, then I would go for it. But if I am wrong and they drop to .75c then I lose, because the company is not going to give me anything back! So I lose, not the company as they still have the money for each share I bought speculating I would make a profit!

The rise and fall in value is determined by market speculators and has virtually no effect on the company.
If I buy one share in your company at $1, what are you going to do with it?

As you said..... invest it in the operation of the company. More to the point in this instance, what are YOU going to do with your share? You could hold on to it and reap profit from the dividends or you could sell it when the perceived market value of the share reaches your target level. But it is never anything other than a receipt for an initial $1 investment.
Speculators play their part in the market too. they provide liquidity, they help create an efficient market and keep spreads tight. Most of them lose anyway. Seriously, speculators don’t make up as large a proportion of the market as you think. If we are talking about foreign exchange, most of the volume is from the banks themselves, investment managers and commercials. Your independent speculator is at the bottom of the food chain.

I have already said that to Erolz. Speculators play their part in the Markets but the Markets are not representative of the performance of the economy. That is a mirage! The economy needs direct investment and that does not come from share valuation as the value is only perceived and remains within the financial system, only the initial share purchase put the money into the economy. The markets and the economy are two different things.
Would you rather have a market that has a huge depth of liquidity with competitive bid and asking prices close together or one that has shallow or sparse liquidity with a wide spread between the most competitive bid and most competitive asking prices? I think the preference is obvious. It is actually the latter market that can be easier manipulated.....

I would respectfully suggest that if the initial ‘share’ investment was into a BOND with a face value and term limits, then the value would remain constant and your interest on those bonds would be your return. Not a perceived value set by speculators who will likely know sod all about the industry the company is involved in. If the company needs more money it sells more bonds. Bonds are retrieved on more-or-less known and fixed values there is no room for speculation the return is based on performance!
Let’s take the housing market, speculators operate here as well. This market is notorious for not being as liquid as other markets. It can take ages to sell your property. Imagine in there were no speculators. It might take even longer to sell your property. Imagine you are ‘desperate’ to sell. Wouldn’t you be glad someone is willing to take a punt on it and give you cash?

Once again, buying and selling existing property does nothing for the real economy as the value (Wealth) is locked into the property. It may go up, it may go down according to availability of funding and the amount of property available. But once again it is not reflective of the real wealth creating economy. This is why giving QE to the banks to loan instead of into wealth creating industry didn’t work. The banks fed it into mortgages and other financial assets!

The economy did not benefit ..... the banks and market speculators did. And what do they actually do for the economy ...... tell me, because as far as I work it out they don’t! They make money and most of that is locked into assets and the banks hold the assets as security for the money they normally create to give credit. The QE money went to banks to buy up ‘asset backed securities’ for that read property with loans that have defaulted. The QE bought out the debt from the banks, the money paid to the bank wrote of the book debt and then disappeared ......... and the assets got sold off to provide the banks with the interest they lost.

So I say again IMO opinion there is no room for speculators in the economy, what is needed is investment in wealth creating projects, not speculative money making ventures within the banking and financial system. That's the way I see it! :roll:


You can look at it purely from a speculative perspective but shareholders are also part owners of a company. Depending on the type of share, preferred or common, they can vote out the management team.

Simply put a low share price is not preferred. It can make a company easily susceptible to take overs. Then when a company wants to raise more money, it has to issue more shares. The lower the price, the more shares you have to issue to raise x amount of money. Which creates dilution, that existing shareholders do not like.

The share price is linked to wealth and the owners, or the board, may retain a number of shares in the company too. They have a vested interested to perform well. The medium to long term price of the shares is linked to its performance. Forget the short term, price swings that are driven by fear and greed or speculators. The market discounts and prices at a premium now and again but once these bargains have been snapped up, the market corrects itself. The fundamentals or the Real value of a business will prevail in the share price over the medium to long term. You just can’t go around buying assets worth $100 for $50 for long without others cottoning on and eroding that inefficiency. we cant all be rich....

The company itself provides the goods or services that benefits the economy.

Buying shares in a company makes you a part owner of the company.

Saying that buying and selling shares provides no benefit to the real economy may be partially correct but Just a tad correct if that. It enables company’s to perform that function.

What do banks and speculators do for the economy? They control it and help propel it forward.

Interest rates and finance are the mother of all economy and speculators are the kind of entrepreneurs taking the risks to establish commerce. Without speculation or risk taking, you have no entrepreneurship. You have no job creation, no innovation, no goods or services provided to others, nothing.
Last edited by Maximus on Fri Aug 02, 2019 6:06 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Robin Hood » Fri Aug 02, 2019 6:04 pm

Kikapu:
Nice piece of “hair splitting”, RH.

Ah come on, you’re sounding like LR :D :wink: ..... I was just pointing out the fact that the ‘money’ deposited as wealth remained in the property but is used as collateral to create New Money!
The point is, if the rising value of one’s house does not happen, hence the increase equity, the homeowner won’t be able to exchange that increased equity to credit/money to buy what he wants, which makes a contribution to the economy. The only way he is not going to do the above, if in fact his mortgage is “under water”, which would adds zero money to the economy. More money = more credit = more spending = vibrant economy.

"More money (collateral?) = more credit = more spending = vibrant economy" ....... and equals more debt = more interest to pay to the banks! That is why we have what is called a '....debt based economy!' :wink:

You are of course actually speculating! What if property prices suddenly fall on the 1st Nov and interest rates rise, along with massive job losses and an immediate recession as the BoE Governor predicts? You stand a good chance of losing all that you had in the first place, to the banks, as they hold your debt!

Think how different things would be if it was the Government through the BoE that was the lender, instead of the commercial banks. The BoE/Gov. don't need to charge interest and the government only has a liability to repay the capital to itself. Your main asset, your property, is not under threat if things go pear shaped! :o
Last edited by Robin Hood on Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Maximus » Fri Aug 02, 2019 6:07 pm

I never said that you were splitting hairs. Maybe a mistake in your quote attribution...
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Londonrake » Fri Aug 02, 2019 6:36 pm

Robin Hood wrote:Maximus:
Nice piece of “hair splitting”, RH.

Ah come on, you’re sounding like LR :D :wink:


I thought I wasn't "sounding" much at all actually. :(

And, of course, it was Kikapu who said that. Let's not split hairs though.
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Robin Hood » Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:14 pm

Maximus wrote:I never said that you were splitting hairs. Maybe a mistake in your quote attribution...


My humble apologies I was addressing Kikapu! My mistake entirely. :oops: Now corrected ! :wink:
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Maximus » Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:22 pm

Robin Hood wrote:
Maximus wrote:I never said that you were splitting hairs. Maybe a mistake in your quote attribution...


My humble apologies I was addressing Kikapu! My mistake entirely. :oops: Now corrected ! :wink:


No worries.

Anyway. I think I chimed in a possibly contributed to derailing the thread.

tying to tie this in with the overall topic. The GBP has taken another battering this week against many currencies.

A countries currency is like a share in the countries economy.

When bojo announced that he would take Britain out of the eu with no deal, the sell off started.

No deal is no good.
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Robin Hood » Fri Aug 02, 2019 7:32 pm

Maximus: (I hope I have it right this time? :wink: )

Buying shares in a company makes you a part owner of the company.

Being an investor does not make you a part owner. It will give you influence in the Boardroom if you hold enough of them, but that is all.
What do banks and speculators do for the economy? They control it and help propel it forward.

They have an effect on the financial and banking sectors, very little effect on the real economy, the wealth creating economy. The only contribution the banks make to the real economy is creating money ..... the result of that is rising debt. If the debt is repaid or recalled, then that is money being taken out of the economy and that causes recessions. The banks then destroy the recovered debt .......... to keep the books straight.

Once again, give a thought to what the result would be if the BoE/Gov. held the debt? It is repaid through direct and indirect taxes and is then re-spent back into the economy? No inflation, no debt and no interest to pay to the commercial banks.
Interest rates and finance are the mother of all economy and speculators are the kind of entrepreneurs taking the risks to establish commerce. Without speculation or risk taking, you have no entrepreneurship. You have no job creation, no innovation, no goods or services provided to others, nothing.

I disagree with you completely and quote China and Japan as examples as to why! Trump complains of unfair competition, but why? Because like the EU, the regulations do not allow US Gov. to finance themselves because capitalistic policies are protected.

In both China and Japan, their Central Bank and Government provide much of the finance for business to expand by buying bonds in that enterprise. The Gov. does not own the companies, but they are investors and can get interest on their investment. They can also fund research and development directly, injecting funds way in advance of seeing any return on/of the investment.

Japan does a similar thing and has an absolutely enormous national debt ...... but it is nearly all in Yen. Neither country can ever go bankrupt because they both have a sovereign currency. Current EU legislation prevents the UK from following the principals of China and Japan. On the 1st Nov that restriction will no longer apply. :D

So again, what will happen to the value of the pound if the BoE/Gov. is able to invest directly into wealth creating UK industry, enterprises, infrastructure and pours money into research and development. (Peoples QE) The economy will boom ...... and it will not need the commercial banks to create the money required ..... the BoE will do it ..... debt free and interest free. Just like China and Japan. There will be no speculation and banks will merely act as intermediaries between lender and borrower.

Unfortunately I doubt very much this will happen under Johnson, :( all the Gov. will do is borrow even more money from the banks, very little will change and Britain will flog on with a tweak here and there to the existing system ..... when what it really needs is a complete change of direction. :!:
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Maximus » Fri Aug 02, 2019 8:49 pm

Robin Hood wrote:
So again, what will happen to the value of the pound if the BoE/Gov. is able to invest directly into wealth creating UK industry, enterprises, infrastructure and pours money into research and development. (Peoples QE) The economy will boom ...... and it will not need the commercial banks to create the money required ..... the BoE will do it ..... debt free and interest free. Just like China and Japan. There will be no speculation and banks will merely act as intermediaries between lender and borrower.:


If it was so Simple and straight forward, why isn’t every country that has its own currency booming?

It just doesn’t work like that, printing more money, and setting interest rates at 0% will devalue the pound. Yes, it will encourage people and enterprise and government to take out loans. Higher interest rates encourage savings. This is how the economy and inflation is controlled. Interest rates are the mother of all economy.

You know, the central bank of a country is like the main manufacturer. the other banks are like distributors of the product, Which is currency. They all need to make something out of it and maintain the value and integrity of their product.
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Londonrake » Fri Aug 02, 2019 9:06 pm

Maximus wrote:
Robin Hood wrote:
So again, what will happen to the value of the pound if the BoE/Gov. is able to invest directly into wealth creating UK industry, enterprises, infrastructure and pours money into research and development. (Peoples QE) The economy will boom ...... and it will not need the commercial banks to create the money required ..... the BoE will do it ..... debt free and interest free. Just like China and Japan. There will be no speculation and banks will merely act as intermediaries between lender and borrower.:


If it was so Simple and straight forward, why isn’t every country that has its own currency booming?

It just doesn’t work like that, printing more money, and setting interest rates at 0% will devalue the pound.

You know, the central bank of a country is like the main manufacturer. the other banks are like distributors of the product, Which is currency.


RH - if he will excuse me in his absence (Zzzzzzzzz :wink: ) I believe thinks that Corbyn and McDonnell would set the world on fire and give the banks a well deserved bloody nose in the process.

Personally (and that's what it is, just my opinion) I think that their plan to take over the printing presses and churn out hundreds of billions to fund their Venezuelan plans will just result in the international decimation of sterling and rampant inflation. What do I know though? I haven't researched the subject of money at great length like he has.

Also, although they haven't actually gone firm on it (well, Labour haven't done that on Brexit for 3 years) it does seem that they're certainly not in "no deal" territory nowadays. Which of course means that they won't be allowed by the EU to do the above. So, it's pretty much a moot point.

What I will add is:

" It gives me great confidence that we have such - a money creation expert on the forum ..... one who is - obviously far smarter and better informed than anybody else's experts."
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Re: Will a Clown enter no.10 ??

Postby Maximus » Fri Aug 02, 2019 9:13 pm

That is exactly what it will do LR,

Decimate the value of the pound and raise the costs of goods and services.

This is usually what the outcome is in countries that have a left or socialist or communist government for a prolonged period of time. They print and or spend or give money away “like it’s nothing” and over time, destroy wealth.
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