Paphitis wrote: I think once Britain leaves that's it. No point going back. Just negotiate Free Trade Deals with individual EU States, and other non EU States. Britain in the end has more control.
The UK can not negotiate free trade deals with individual EU states. No country can do this. You can only agree trade deals with the whole EU or none of it. If I had not been on this forum for a decade plus I would say your desire to publicly parade your own ignorance is quite stunning but given that I have it does not really surprise me.
Paphitis wrote: I am predicting a hard BREXIT at this stage, but there is a distinct possibility that when the EU realize that Britain is going down the NO Deal Brexit road, they could themselves cave in and negotiate multiple Free Trade Deals before the point of no return and salvage what they can.
None of the issues involved in negotiating an agreed exit with the EU disappear if the UK leaves without a deal. After a no deal exit the EU will still want agreement on things like the 'divorce bill', the NI border situation and countless other things. The idea that after a no deal exit they will just forget these things and say ok let's do a trade deal between the UK and the EU is puerile nonsense.
Paphitis wrote:So Hard Brexit could end up culminate in Free Trade.
Even if and when, after a no deal exit, the UK and the EU do agree a free trade deal, this will still require customs checks on the flow of goods between the UK and the EU that will have an impact and increased cost on trade between the UK and the EU. You can agree zero import tariffs on categories of goods but without the regulatory alignment of a customs union there still has to be customs checks of some kind.
Paphitis wrote:Also remember, that Britain has Free Trade Deals pending with USA, Australia and Canada. So they won't be in a terrible pickle either if it comes to worst case scenario.
The UK does not have deals in place with these countries ready to go from the day we leave. Negotiating such deals will take time and be very difficult. In the case of the US for example it is clear that one of the primary 'wants' on the side of the US will be access for US companies to the health care market in the UK which would undermine the NHS in countless ways. The there is chlorinated chicken and hormone fed beef, neither of which can currently be exported from the US to the UK and neither of which the UK population want. There are countless other issues that will be involved. All of which even if they can be agreed will impact negotiations between the UK and EU on any trade deal we might agree with them (after we have agreed the divorce bill, NI issue etc etc). This idea then that on Monday we leave the EU without a deal and on Tuesday we sign a trade deal with the US is again just puerile nonsense.
Paphitis wrote:and the EU are playing hardball
The EU is seeking to look after it's own interests as any sane entity would do in a negotiation, brought about not by themselves but by the UK. The UK is negotiating whilst being hemmed in and dominated by the ideology and demagoguery of the minority of extreme leave camp.
Paphitis wrote:They should stop being such cucks and give the EU an ultimatum that Brexit WILL occur by .....(insert date), deal or no deal. Soind the tables entirely and watch the EU backplip instantly
This is exactly what we tried to do right up till 14 days before we were due to leave on the 29 March and the EU did 'cave'. So your 'plan' is to try again something we already tried and failed in the hope that we get a different result. Pretty much Einstein's definition of insanity.
A no deal exit does not just have impacts on trade (not just with the EU but with the 100 plus other countries and trading blocks we currently trade with via EU wide deals) , disastrous as the impacts on trade will be of such an exit. It will impact almost every international relationship the UK currently has, from issues to do with the transport of radioactive materials, agreements for access to airspace for UK airlines, certification and distribution of medicens to a thousand other things. All these things that currently governed by agreements will end on the day we leave without a deal and we will then have to scramble around to try and replace these agreements all at the same time and from a position of inherent weakness. This is why a majority of MP's from all parties (as well as almost certainly a majority of the UK population) do not, can not and will not accept such an exit - it would represent the the biggest act of self harm perpetrated by a democratically elected government on it's own people in the history of man kind.