Pyrpolizer wrote:First of all the historical average P/E ratio doesn’t mean anything. Depends on what kind of sector a stock belongs, and even that most of the times is not enough as there are huge variations in sections e.g. from 5-40%. There are huge variations among individual stocks too.
Secondly you misunderstood the context of saying the "valuation is high".
This means taking the value of the stock and assuming the valuation is based on all the parameters you mentioned including the historical and predicted future P/E growth, then the result is much higher than the real value of the company.
Which in turn means that either the current price of the stock is high, or the predicted P/E growth is unrealistic, or both.
My claim is that you will not find a single stock in the stock markets that sells below it’s intrinsic value unless there's a stock market crash. Hence by paying more you are actually paying for future hope.
Yeh it does.
The P/E Ratio is the Earnings per share.
If a share price is $10.00, and the earnings (profit) per share is $1, then the P/E Ratio is 10
A share like that represents great value because it is profiting 10% of its share price and that is excellent. So, this share represents great value and a bargain.
The rule of thumb is that a share that has a P/E Ratio less than 15.86 is good, and anything over is over priced.
But it isn't the only metric by a long shot. It is only one aspect.
Plus there are variations because shares fluctuate in terms of their P/E ratio. Their earnings and expenses change. Sometimes due t bad performance and at other times deliberately.
For instance, QANTAS makes a profit for 10 years running then suddenly declares a technical loss of 700 million one year - because they bought 30 planes. So their P/E Ration went from 15 the previous year, to nothing the following year. Naturally their share price dropped, but all this meant was that it was a great time to Buy QANTAS Shares at $2 and by the following year they were up to $5.70 and declared a profit. The Banks and Institutional Traders know exactly what they are doing so don't worry.
Experts can spot these opportunities a mile away.