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INVESTMENTS

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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby Paphitis » Sun Nov 11, 2018 4:25 pm

Pyrpolizer wrote:
Paphitis wrote:
Stocks are influenced on a supply demand basis like everything else.

The Australian Super System is a self sustaining beast. In fact, the money pool keeps expanding and the money pool is only incrementally withdrawn or cashed out as people retire. So it will not burst any bubble.

There will be corrections as there always is, because economics are cyclic.

But as for fascism. That is what you have. You went tits up and there has never been an inquiry as to why. How on earth can you compare this to us and call us fascists. You got to be kidding.

The other thing. How on earth are you going to get a pension? Do you think Cyprus will be able to afford this massive welfare bill with a thinning out tax base?

Pyro, you have no clue about economics and stocks which is quite sad. And if you ask DT, it's going to cost you big time unless you are astute enough to self fund.

BTW, the 10% is paid by your employer over and above your salary. You have a choice to salary sacrifice another portion of your income to save tax, which is very worthwhile for a lot of tax payers. In other words, you can sacrifice x into your fund and not pay tax on that amount. It is an incentive to save more. The system in ingenious. It is recognized as the best system in the world.

There have been economists after economists and some of the smartest brains in the intellectual community who claim that the Australian Super System is a very robust retirement savings system for Australian workers and businesses which is great for Australia and its people.

Making sure your citizens enjoy a reasonable standard of living and that the welfare safety net is still sustainable in the future, isn't a fascist policy. It is a policy from a responsible Government that is planning for the future for the well being of its citizens and the economy. If they don't do it, they will go tits up like Cyprus did, and you and the young will pay for it again and even more thousands of young Cypriots will be headed our way.

You want to know why your Government doesn't do this kind of thing? Because they are only interested in their chair. they won't be the ones eating Cat Food either as they are smart enough to invest in managed funds anyway. they won't legislate for you to do it because they know it means a loss of votes. In other words they don't give a damn.

You have non fascists like katastrofias while we had forward thinkers like Bob Hawke, Keating and Howard. :x


Of course it's supply and demand, problem is with all those Super funds you are pushing the demand upwards over a fixed supply, and as a result you get bubbles like you already have in the housing market.
These super funds is the utter stupidity you can imagine, because they violates the principle that the markets can absorb investments upto a certain point. From there on they push the demand not only for real estate but for everything to invest on, to the limits creating bubbles.
What these super funds certainly achieved so far is to rip off peoples savings from the huge amount of charges they impose. They certainly created a new Elitist group among the Australians, who suck your incomes. And what a nice scheme that is huh? You just give them your money and you are forbidden to take it unless you reach pension age..
Nope! I prefer Cyprus' Provident funds. At least you can take a loan from that. And you can take all your money any time you abandon the company.
And don't try to sell me this fairy tail that it's the employer who pays. It's you who pays. Sure the government reduces your tax on the amount you invest however the rest comes out of your pocket. The same was happening here, so for people who were taxed at 30% the remaining 70% came out of their own pocket, and for those who were taxed at 0% the remaining 100% was coming out of their pockets. Any way you look at it is an indirect way of the Government financing private companies. Thank God once again we are in the EU and such things are not allowed anymore.

For such an economy like yours who so heavily depends on China, I'd actually lose my sleep just by the thought of the next financial crisis.
Be prepared Paphitis, analysts are waiting for it within the next 18-24 months :P .


It's not just supply and demand.

It's also the business performance, their profit, their sales and their PI Index. There are literally many factors that effect the share price. Also, whether it is going towards Dividend Payout or ex dividend.

These Managed Funds have not ripped off anyone. There literally has never been anyone that has lost money and the fund managers are actually mostly from Industry Super Funds. For example, my fund is run by The Australian Federation of Air Pilots (AFAP) or the Union. It is a non profit fund, but there are professional fund managers who work for us to make sure they look after the funds members financial interests and investments. AFAP have quite a bit under management from all its members into a single fund that has a lot of buying power (Billions under management)

It's basically the Pilot Union that does it for us, and the only fee we pay is $6 per month.

Not only that, but I get loss of licence insurance. If I lose my medical, I get a $500,000 pay out.

I also have life Insurance so if I die, partner is paid $500,000. If I am involved in a plane crash, I get free legal representation by AFAP lawyers and other protection and shielding from the media etc.

AFAP is the union that bought the country to a standstill. These are the fund operators too. They employ the financial fund managers and have a team of industrial lawyers on the books as well.

AFAP certainly isn't a rip off.

In fact, I told you before that the fund usually doubles everyone's money every 5 to 7 years. And it costs every member just $72 per year plus their membership to the Union which is a 1% levy on our wage. because we are high earners generally, AFAP is pretty wealthy and powerful.

Usually when you go for a job, the 10% levy is in addition to your Salary - Salary + Super. Your Salary does not include the 10% Super. When Keating introduced the system and rolled it out, he made employers fully liable to the Super expense. In other words, every business had to pay an extra 10% into all their employees Super Funds. There was an uproar but the uproar from business settled down as the dust settled.

Most people are in Industry Super Funds run by the Unions. You don't have to be a member through the Union non profit funds. The Banks also run funds but they charge more. Performance wise, they are all pretty much the same, the only point of difference is that the Banks and Commercial Funds will charge you about $1000 per year as opposed to just $72 per year that the Union charges.

No one is allowed to borrow against their Super or draw on the money until the age of 65. If you die, your Super is inherited by your partner or children.

And no, when you buy a share, you are not financing the company at all. The shares are usually not owned by the company but other share holders or institutional investors (big funds like Super and Banks).

It is a heavily regulated and controlled eco system. And no one is actually complaining because we all know how it works and we all see the money increasing and rolling over in time. You can also log in and see what your Super amount is worth on any day and look at graphs to see how well it is doing. Last financial year it was up by 14.3%
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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby Pyrpolizer » Sun Nov 11, 2018 4:46 pm

DT. wrote:You’ll be receiving my invoice shortly 8)


I won't pay it!

https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy ... 4d30a3ecd8

Economic commentator Peter Schiff has forecast a major downturn as early as the end of US President Donald Trump’s first term.

"We won’t be able to call it a recession, it’s going to be worse than the Great Depression," he told the New York Post. "The US economy is in so much worse shape than it was a decade ago."


https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-10-08/ ... 7/10343364

"I am concerned we could be seeing an Ireland 2.0 here within the next 12 to 18 months," warned Martin North, the principal at Digital Finance Analytics.

Mr North caused quite a stir with a recent appearance on 60 Minutes where he discussed the possibility of a 30-45 per cent property price crash in Australia, although he rates that as only a one-in-five risk, with a still-large 15-30 per cent fall his base case.

Another relevant link:
https://www.policyforum.net/australia-ready-next-gfc/
Last edited by Pyrpolizer on Sun Nov 11, 2018 5:25 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby Paphitis » Sun Nov 11, 2018 5:02 pm

Pyrpolizer wrote:
DT. wrote:You’ll be receiving my invoice shortly 8)


I won't pay it!

https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy ... 4d30a3ecd8

Economic commentator Peter Schiff has forecast a major downturn as early as the end of US President Donald Trump’s first term.

"We won’t be able to call it a recession, it’s going to be worse than the Great Depression," he told the New York Post. "The US economy is in so much worse shape than it was a decade ago."


We are not that heavily dependent on China. They are a big market but we also don't treat them well, because the USA is also a big trader for us and a staunch ally. In fact, we send planes and warships and conduct over flights over the South China Sea right up to 12nms of the Chinese Coast.

Sustralian economy is a pretty diverse beast. I don't think China is all that important to us.

We already went through a Financial Crisis in 2008. The Super Fund has more than increased by over 150% since then.

There isn't really a financial crisis that will really be the end of anything. Worse case is we lose between 8 to 15%. Our fund managers know exactly what they are doing and know when to dump the risky investments for Gold stocks and Banks. That is why they are paid the big bucks. they are our traders and know what to buy, what to ditch and sell, and when to park up in the safe haven stocks (Gold and banks). Many times they buck the trend of the market. When the market goes down, they can still make profits for us. Because they are talented and generally try hard to get their performance bonuses.

Even in 2008, most funds didn't really lose anything in the end - probably only 1 or 2% once the dust settled.

It really isn't bad at all.

And another thing you don't understand. It doesn't matter if the market crashes in 18 to 24 months. I still got 25 years in this fund so I don't realize any losses at all. You only realize losses when you exit. I've got 25 whole years which is a very long term and the crash in 18 or 24 months is just a little pothole on the road. In 25 years, the fund should gain an additional 300 to 400% based on past averages.

We got this guy and as long as this guy is in, Wall Street will be having a party. :D

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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby DT. » Sun Nov 11, 2018 7:48 pm

Small correction there Paphiti. All your superfunds combined have total assets under mgt of around 700bn. The only trillion dollar funds are Norway and Japan.
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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby Pyrpolizer » Sun Nov 11, 2018 10:14 pm

DT. wrote:Small correction there Paphiti. All your superfunds combined have total assets under mgt of around 700bn. The only trillion dollar funds are Norway and Japan.


what was that 150% increase from 2008 (see Paphitis post above) was that in performance or in assets??
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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby Paphitis » Mon Nov 12, 2018 2:23 am

DT. wrote:Small correction there Paphiti. All your superfunds combined have total assets under mgt of around 700bn. The only trillion dollar funds are Norway and Japan.


I will need to correct you there DT.

The Australian Futures Fund when combined (all Australian citizens) is about 4.6 Trillion now.

Now this is hundreds of Management companies combined (Banks, Commercial Funds, and Unions like AFAP, and other industry run funds like the Police, Defence, Nurses and School Teachers etc)

The 4.6 Trillion isn't a singular fund. There are hundreds of them. So the largest fund in Australia, which is probably the Commonwealth Bank or something similar might be 700 billion, but when you combine all funds together its about 4.6 Trillion.

And I believe Australia has been doing this a lot longer than Japan and Norway. Australia was the first to do it, so it is a massive industry here.
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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby Paphitis » Mon Nov 12, 2018 2:27 am

Pyrpolizer wrote:
DT. wrote:Small correction there Paphiti. All your superfunds combined have total assets under mgt of around 700bn. The only trillion dollar funds are Norway and Japan.


what was that 150% increase from 2008 (see Paphitis post above) was that in performance or in assets??


That is in Capital Gains Pyro, without taking into consideration dividends and customer deposits which are done through the tax system.
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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby DT. » Mon Nov 12, 2018 7:55 am

Paphitis wrote:
DT. wrote:Small correction there Paphiti. All your superfunds combined have total assets under mgt of around 700bn. The only trillion dollar funds are Norway and Japan.


I will need to correct you there DT.

The Australian Futures Fund when combined (all Australian citizens) is about 4.6 Trillion now.

Now this is hundreds of Management companies combined (Banks, Commercial Funds, and Unions like AFAP, and other industry run funds like the Police, Defence, Nurses and School Teachers etc)

The 4.6 Trillion isn't a singular fund. There are hundreds of them. So the largest fund in Australia, which is probably the Commonwealth Bank or something similar might be 700 billion, but when you combine all funds together its about 4.6 Trillion.

And I believe Australia has been doing this a lot longer than Japan and Norway. Australia was the first to do it, so it is a massive industry here.


Nope...your govt futures fund combined is 146bn which is comparable to the New York common retirement fund of 150bn.


Now if you take all the privately ran funds from virgin, fidelity etc then yes those assets go up to 2.7 trillion which
Is a new record for you guys. But we’re discussing govt pension funds here. Norway and japan lead with the largest funds.

https://www.consultancy.uk/news/14292/t ... -the-globe
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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby miltiades » Mon Nov 12, 2018 10:18 am

Having briefly touched 8.24, Tomtom now well over the 8 euro mark.
Im confident at the close it will be over 8.20
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Re: INVESTMENTS

Postby Pyrpolizer » Mon Nov 12, 2018 1:07 pm

Paphitis wrote:
Pyrpolizer wrote:
DT. wrote:Small correction there Paphiti. All your superfunds combined have total assets under mgt of around 700bn. The only trillion dollar funds are Norway and Japan.


what was that 150% increase from 2008 (see Paphitis post above) was that in performance or in assets??


That is in Capital Gains Pyro, without taking into consideration dividends and customer deposits which are done through the tax system.

https://www.superguide.com.au/boost-you ... erformance

Since Superannuation Guarantee was introduced more than 26 years ago, the average long-term annual compound median return generated on a ‘balanced’ super fund account is 7.5% a year

https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/inflation-cpi
Australia Q3 Inflation Rate Slows to 1.9%

https://www.australiansuper.com/compare ... erformance
7.4% /year from 2009
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