The fact that Turkey would attempt to steal hydrocarbons from Cyprus’s EEZ was known a long time ago, and in fact I did try to initiate a conversation here:
cyprus45631-260.html#p862171We did have some exchange of views with one of the few forumers left who can think politically,
my friend Kikapu i.e.
So now we know for a fact that Turkey bought it’s own platform and she’s going to use it.
RH wrote: The one thing that worries me would be if the Cypriots decided to call in Israel or the US to fight a sea battle with the Turkish Navy on their behalf.
That’s too naïve to even think about it. Nobody is going to do someone else’s war. However everyone (including the Americans the Israelis the Egyprians the French -EVERYONE including Cyprus) will be damaged if Turkey just starts drilling in an effort to steal hydrocarbons.
There’s a high possibility someone else’s pool will be affected. Just consider what happens in the Gulf. There are many pools over there most of them communicating with each other. Some of the Gulf countries could only get gas whereas other could get both gas and oil. However getting the gas out reduces the pressure making it impossible for other countries to get the oil out. It’s a known fact that Saudi Arabia actually pays neighboring countries so that they won’t extract gas.
Don’t even for a minute think that the agreements Cyprus has already signed with neighboring countries concern only the geographical limits of the EEZ. They also include a lot of technical stuff in how the exploration is going to proceed in a way that won’t affect the interests of neighbors. Even the rate at which the hydrocarbons will be extract has to be agreed during the process.
Now imagine Turkey messing into that. She will simply be ordered to stop. Most probably by the Americans. Do you think Turkey has the guts to disobey? Let her try. It’s a long time now we are expecting to see Turkey getting cracked into pieces.
RH wrote: The Turks could just decide to move the Green Line down to Limassol sea front!
The only excuse I can find for someone throwing such a statement is the fact that you haven’t served in the army and hence you have no idea of how wars get started on the first place, then how they are carried on, and how the "winner" eventually establishes control. Furthermore I ‘ve noticed in an older post that you thought the Cypriot National Guard as it currently is- full of conscripts- should have insignificant power.
Secondly you luck the necessary knowledge as to the rights of Turkey over Cyprus. Turkey never had a right to protect her own establishment of a pseudo state in Cyprus. The one and only right she ever had which was to take action to protect the constitutional order of Cyprus!!
We all know that the 1974 "operation" presumably started to re-establish the constitutional order and ended up to a full scale Invasion with ethnic cleansing stealing of lands and properties, killing thousands of Greek Cypriots etc. Do you think the GCs will ever accept another such scum?
I ‘m not going to go into the details of neither the military issue nor the political issue of such an act but mark my words, if Turkey would ever attempt such a thing, she’s is going to get such a blow from the very first day from the Cypriot National Guard alone, that she would remember for eternity. All we have to watch for, is the British playing their usual dirty games behind our backs.