That’s too naïve to even think about it.(The Turks moving the Green Line) Nobody is going to do someone else’s war. However everyone (including the Americans the Israelis the Egyptians the French -EVERYONE including Cyprus) will be damaged if Turkey just starts drilling in an effort to steal hydrocarbons.
Yes moving the Green Line would be rather improbable but all they really need to do is pour more Turkish Troops into the country, carry out some threatening exercises and the fear factor alone would mean that the GC's would have to take counter measures just in case they were serious.
So the other countries you list would respond to ’......do someone else’s war’! One off-shore incident from either side of the Island could have serious repercussions. Just words will not deter the Turks you would have to display to them you were serious and Cyprus on its own cannot do that. It has no air power for a start!
.The only excuse I can find for someone throwing such a statement is the fact that you haven’t served in the army and hence you have no idea of how wars get started on the first place, then how they are carried on, and how the "winner" eventually establishes control. Furthermore I ‘ve noticed in an older post that you thought the Cypriot National Guard as it currently is- full of conscripts- should have insignificant power
I have served but many years ago (60 yrs?) but I was an apprentice and then joined the TA, a military career type person I was not! But history tells us how wars can be started, how they are conducted and that, since the end of WWII ......... there have been very few wars actually won by the ‘winners’!
A very close Cypriot friend we have known for years, has a son who is an officer in the CNG (regular – did his training in Greece for some years). He is a very nice guy but a warrior he is not. His mum still does his washing and ironing for him and cooks his meals in batches for him to survive the weeks duty. No conscript army can take on a regular army, the incentive to sacrifice your life for The State does not have the same appeal in a conscript.
The other paragraphs I generally agree with you. The thread is now a TC vs GC debate and something I have always avoided participating in ...... for obvious reasons. Although ......
All we have to watch for, is the British playing their usual dirty games behind our backs.
I think it would be fair to include the US and their other allies in that comment, don't you? The UK would not act alone ..... as is the norm, they will do what the US decides they can ..... and what the US decides is always in the interests of the US. (which means in the interests of Israel also) As I pointed out previously, they abandoned the UK (a NATO member which Cyprus is not) over The Faulkland’s War and worked actively against them, as they and our French ally, supplied weapons and intelligence to Argentina. Alliances and promises go out of the window when to implement them is not in the interests of the US.