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[Kikapu]

TSA checkpoint travel numbers (current year(s) versus prior year/same weekday)

https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput

Actually Kikapu, they don’t look like a particularly bad set of numbers in comparison to the rest of the world.

We are probably at around 35% capacity in Australia whereas the yanks don’t look like they are below 60% capacity at the worst point. Still a reduction and a significant one at that, but in comparison not as bad as elsewhere.
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Yes, on surface the passenger numbers looks pretty good given the circumstances, but it does not state how many planes and crew are in the air for these passengers as the airlines have reduced seat capacity and most planes are flying full due to reduced services and destinations.

[Paphitis]

TSA checkpoint travel numbers (current year(s) versus prior year/same weekday)

https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput

Actually Kikapu, they don’t look like a particularly bad set of numbers in comparison to the rest of the world.

We are probably at around 35% capacity in Australia whereas the yanks don’t look like they are below 60% capacity at the worst point. Still a reduction and a significant one at that, but in comparison not as bad as elsewhere.
.

Yes, on surface the passenger numbers looks pretty good given the circumstances we, but it does not state how many planes and crew are in the air for these passengers as the airlines have reduced seat capacity and most planes are flying full due to reduced services and destinations.

They have stood down or furloughed hundreds of crew.

But they are bringing them back now slowly, not by choice but because they can only pump so many at a time through retraining. It’s a mobilisation that will take months, maybe even a year or more. Only so many checkers and only so many sims.

We all got an email with an update and a request to log into our portals and update our hours, licenses and currencies.

In my case they want to know how many hours I have flown, and how many approaches I shot,

They also asked for our current medical certificates.

So I’m spending some time tomorrow uploading my entire log book for the last 12 months or so. They told this this is purely for planning and allocation of resources as many pilots have not flown at all for a year. What’s promising is that they are still talking to us which is surprising. They promised they would and it appears that at this stage they are keeping that promise. Personally I think they are foreseeing the shit hitting the fan by October which incidentally is when Qantas also plans to start international flights.

They also told us they plan to assign us over to an FAA Officer to start working on our License conversions so that the only thing we need to do once we are in Saint Louis is sit the FAA Air Law exam.

So it appears they got a plan or are quickly in the process of formulating one which will hopefully as far as they concerned have all their aircraft and crews in the air with business as usual within 2021 or early 2022.

They have also lost a lot of pilots so they are already way behind the eight ball.

[Kikapu]

Financial Times
Airline shares fall sharply as doubts over summer travel grow

Philip Georgiadis
Mon, March 22, 2021, 1:00 AM

Shares in airlines and other travel companies tumbled in early trading on Monday, as rising coronavirus cases in Europe have accelerated doubts over the summer holiday season. British Airways owner IAG slid as much as 15 per cent after the market opened before recovering to trade 7 per cent lower, while low-cost rivals easyJet and Ryanair each fell 7 per cent. Travel group Tui was down 6 per cent. Concerns have intensified that the UK will prolong its ban on non-essential international travel well into airlines’ critical summer season, depriving carriers of revenue following more than a year of disruption.

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/m/92d1e89 ... arply.html

[Paphitis]

Financial Times
Airline shares fall sharply as doubts over summer travel grow

Philip Georgiadis
Mon, March 22, 2021, 1:00 AM

Shares in airlines and other travel companies tumbled in early trading on Monday, as rising coronavirus cases in Europe have accelerated doubts over the summer holiday season. British Airways owner IAG slid as much as 15 per cent after the market opened before recovering to trade 7 per cent lower, while low-cost rivals easyJet and Ryanair each fell 7 per cent. Travel group Tui was down 6 per cent. Concerns have intensified that the UK will prolong its ban on non-essential international travel well into airlines’ critical summer season, depriving carriers of revenue following more than a year of disruption.

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/m/92d1e89 ... arply.html

That’s market sentiment. You would be crazy to buy airline shares right now unless you see it as an opportunity to buy whilst they are down and cheap.

To answer your question, there were 3500 furloughed early last year. I don’t know if that number is accurate today.

They have started to recruit though right now for their network subsidiaries and regionals. I’ve been told the big 4 are only a few months away from doing the same.

So the airlines in America seem to think something is happening and believe they have turned the corner. Their decisions now are costing them millions but if they don’t get it right it will cost them billions down the line.

The guy I speak to, my recruiter, has said that things are starting to move. They are flying more and bringing more pilots in gradually.

[Kikapu]

Financial Times
Airline shares fall sharply as doubts over summer travel grow

Philip Georgiadis
Mon, March 22, 2021, 1:00 AM

Shares in airlines and other travel companies tumbled in early trading on Monday, as rising coronavirus cases in Europe have accelerated doubts over the summer holiday season. British Airways owner IAG slid as much as 15 per cent after the market opened before recovering to trade 7 per cent lower, while low-cost rivals easyJet and Ryanair each fell 7 per cent. Travel group Tui was down 6 per cent. Concerns have intensified that the UK will prolong its ban on non-essential international travel well into airlines’ critical summer season, depriving carriers of revenue following more than a year of disruption.

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/m/92d1e89 ... arply.html

That’s market sentiment. You would be crazy to buy airline shares right now unless you see it as an opportunity to buy whilst they are down and cheap.

To answer your question, there were 3500 furloughed early last year. I don’t know if that number is accurate today.

They have started to recruit though right now for their network subsidiaries and regionals. I’ve been told the big 4 are only a few months away from doing the same.

So the airlines in America seem to think something is happening and believe they have turned the corner. Their decisions now are costing them millions but if they don’t get it right it will cost them billions down the line.

The guy I speak to, my recruiter, has said that things are starting to move. They are flying more and bringing more pilots in gradually.

I am yet to hear from my AA captain friend. I hope my email did not end up in the spam file.

US passengers have very little options when it comes to travel great distances in the US since they do not have fast train services, therefore, air travel is their best options unlike those in Europe, China and Japan.

Although US has been vaccinating at great numbers, too much politics is also encouraging many to dismiss the science on Covid-19, which may very well hamper the recovery of air travel the industry hopes to achieve. Just look at the catastrophe the Spring break has done in Miami South Beach with the young people as we speak, a place I have been to few times in the past. Time will tell.

[Kikapu]

TSA checkpoint travel numbers (current year(s) versus prior year/same weekday)

https://www.tsa.gov/coronavirus/passenger-throughput

Actually Kikapu, they don’t look like a particularly bad set of numbers in comparison to the rest of the world.

We are probably at around 35% capacity in Australia whereas the yanks don’t look like they are below 60% capacity at the worst point. Still a reduction and a significant one at that, but in comparison not as bad as elsewhere.
.

Yes, on surface the passenger numbers looks pretty good given the circumstances, but it does not state how many planes and crew are in the air for these passengers as the airlines have reduced seat capacity and most planes are flying full due to reduced services and destinations.

I believe the air passenger surge will be short lived once the Spring break is over.

USA TODAY
Millions of travelers board flights amid pandemic spring break travel surge

Julia Thompson, USA TODAY
Mon, March 22, 2021, 3:19 PM

Travelers packed planes and airports over the weekend as the spring break travel surge continued.

The Transportation Security Administration screened 1,543,115 travelers at U.S. airports Sunday, its busiest day since March 13, 2020, the day the U.S. declared the coronavirus pandemic a national emergency. The numbers are a stark contrast from the same date in 2020, when the agency screened only 548,132 but still not up to pre-pandemic levels; the TSA screened 2,227,181 the same date in 2019.

The agency has now had 11 consecutive days of 1-million-plus travelers screened as air travel ticks back up. Traveler screening totals fell below 90,000 in April 2020 in the early days of the pandemic and didn't top 1 million again until October.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/millions-tra ... 44618.html

[Paphitis]

Financial Times
Airline shares fall sharply as doubts over summer travel grow

Philip Georgiadis
Mon, March 22, 2021, 1:00 AM

Shares in airlines and other travel companies tumbled in early trading on Monday, as rising coronavirus cases in Europe have accelerated doubts over the summer holiday season. British Airways owner IAG slid as much as 15 per cent after the market opened before recovering to trade 7 per cent lower, while low-cost rivals easyJet and Ryanair each fell 7 per cent. Travel group Tui was down 6 per cent. Concerns have intensified that the UK will prolong its ban on non-essential international travel well into airlines’ critical summer season, depriving carriers of revenue following more than a year of disruption.

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/m/92d1e89 ... arply.html

That’s market sentiment. You would be crazy to buy airline shares right now unless you see it as an opportunity to buy whilst they are down and cheap.

To answer your question, there were 3500 furloughed early last year. I don’t know if that number is accurate today.

They have started to recruit though right now for their network subsidiaries and regionals. I’ve been told the big 4 are only a few months away from doing the same.

So the airlines in America seem to think something is happening and believe they have turned the corner. Their decisions now are costing them millions but if they don’t get it right it will cost them billions down the line.

The guy I speak to, my recruiter, has said that things are starting to move. They are flying more and bringing more pilots in gradually.

I am yet to hear from my AA captain friend. I hope my email did not end up in the spam file.

US passengers have very little options when it comes to travel great distances in the US since they do not have fast train services, therefore, air travel is their best options unlike those in Europe, China and Japan.

Although US has been vaccinating at great numbers, too much politics is also encouraging many to dismiss the science on Covid-19, which may very well hamper the recovery of air travel the industry hopes to achieve. Just look at the catastrophe the Spring break has done in Miami South Beach with the young people as we speak, a place I have been to few times in the past. Time will tell.

Fast trains are extremely expensive for vast countries like US, Australia, canada etc to the point of non viability. And even if you do have them, it's not as if you can have many bullet trains coming to and fro unless there are multiple tracks.

they make more sense for smaller countries like Japan or perhaps some European countries.

You can't really do it to the mass necessary to satisfy the transport needs of people.

But air travel on the other jand is pretty big in the US in particular but also on vast countries like Canada and Australia with their smaller population. For example, you can have a dozen B737 servicing or flying between major routes such as between melbourne and Sydney (the busiest air route in the world as a matter of fact). So at any given time, 2500 people in transit if not more. Tomes by 24 hours and the numbers can be staggering.

A bullet train between melboure and Sydney just can't fulfill that kind of demand.

I hope you hear from your friend.

I have updated all my data with the Americans and now its a waiting game. I have no doubt now that I will be able to go there, it's just a case of when.

I just can't foresee aviation remaining at its current depressed state for too much longer. Once this Covid issue is done with, I believe the flood gates will be open and the tiday surge will be unprecedented.

[Kikapu]

I hope you hear from your friend.
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Paphitis, this is what my friend, the AA Captain wrote.

Always great to hear from you ***** and I’m glad you’re doing well. Demand seems to be returning and here at American they are increasing the flying every month starting with April.

I assume United and Delta will probably be doing the same. With the Covid vaccine getting out the outlook is positive. Looking forward for international to open. That’s the game changer. How’s your schedule for a FaceTime later?

[Kikapu]

Benzinga
What Pandemic? Airlines Announce Scores Of New Routes, Expanded Service

Phil Hall
Fri, March 26, 2021, 1:55 PM

The airline industry appears to be more than ready to move ahead into a post-pandemic era, with several major U.S. carriers announcing a plethora of new routes over the past few days.

https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/pand ... 06066.html

[Londonrake]

https://cyprus-mail.com/2021/03/29/amer ... -bookings/

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