miltiades wrote:Why " certain" or why hard brexit" ?
Hard Brexit will involve leaving the single free trade market, this course of action has already been established, also leaving the customs union .
Why is it certain that the UK is going for a "Hard Brexit"? So far it all amounts to nothing more than a lot of pre-negotiations huffing 'n' puffing, from both sides. Nobody has even started to sit around a table and talk yet. As always, there are people with unrealistic and extreme views which should be viewed as such.The UK government's clearly stated objective is to negotiate a comprehensive trade agreement.
It would be mutually destructive for there not to be some sort of accommodation on trade and ultimately I am sure an accommodation is what will take place.
Whilst the likes of Junker might rant-and-rave about fire and brimstone he hasn't got to worry about the consequences for his countrymens' livelihoods.
Spain, a country which is in bad trouble economically, exports £17billion per year to the UK. 7.5% of their total.
Holland, £41 billion. 9.5% of total exports are to the UK.
Ireland, £13 billion. 12.7%.
Poland, £10 billion. 6.7%.
France £28 billion. 7.1%
Germany, £80 billion.
The UK is also the fourth most important export market for Portugal, the Czech Republic, Belgium and Sweden.
Let's not talk about the implications for the Italians.
Loss of this market would have a devastating effect on those national economies. It's nothing less than economic, Mutual Assured Destruction. Which is why it won't happen. No matter how much the likes of Fallon and Sturgeon promote the idea of driving off a cliff.
As far as your earlier comments on the EU and UK parliament's authority. It's a moveable feast, depending upon where you look; however, EU regulations automatically apply in all 28 countries and become part of UK law. And boy, does Brussels love regulations. Basically if it ain't regulated in the EU then the attitude is that it either is or should be illegal.
If you count all EU regulations, EU-related Acts of Parliament, and EU-related Statutory Instruments, about 62% of laws introduced between 1993 and 2014 that apply in the UK, implemented EU obligations. The ECJ also has primacy over UK law. So your idea that Parliament can give two fingers to the EU isn't correct.