Pyrpolizer wrote:Robin Hood wrote:Milti:
Would you consider this to be confirmation that most probably the currency speculators and the real economy are singing from different song sheets? Doom and gloom from The Currency Market and the report of a trade surplus, record low unemployment and now this, seems the UK is not doing so badly after all? What is there to be gloomy about?
The speculators must have got the latest news before they quit for the weekend ..... it rose from 1.0864 to 1.09256 in just two hours on Friday (10-1200 hrs) and levelled off at 1.0921, for the next 48 hrs.British manufacturing defies Brexit doom by posting one of the biggest growth results in three years in 'clear sign confidence is returning'
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4846208/British-manufacturing-defies-Brexit-doom.html
OK .... so it is from the Daily Mail so it could be an exaggeration!
You should thank the speculators then
From the same article:
The pound has fallen by 13 per cent against a basket of currencies since the Brexit vote, which has proved a boost for manufacturers as it makes UK goods more attractive to overseas buyers.
And don't forget the UK is still a member of the EU with full rights and no burdens for it's exports.
Do you think the same boom will occur after it exits?
Yes .... I have every confidence that the UK economy will prosper outside the EU, but I can't honestly see some of the EU member states thriving without a strong commercial partnership with the UK?
But this CBI story supports what I said at the beginning, that economic influences lag way behind speculator invoked currency changes. This is the one foreseen circumstance a first year economics graduate would recognise as being 100% predictable if a currency loses value.
There are two economies ...... one is the real economy based on trade, jobs and wealth creation ...... the other is based on money. The first will survive as it has for thousands of years, the second is doomed to failure ..... it cannot survive as it is. Unfortunately for the UK a very large part of their claim to economic success is currently based on the latter, but that will change and I think quite soon.