supporttheunderdog wrote:The Bank of Cyprus currently has a loans to deposit ration of 121%: that is to say for every Eu 100 deposited it has lent 121... of which 50% or are "delinquent", with a total 11.3 Billion deliquent loans
So where does this extra 21% come from: capital/equity? Since the Bank evidently has about 22.6B loans that means about 4Bn, but the market capetisation is 1,3,,, leaving a hole...or is that covered by the ELA of 3.3Bn?
Otherwise it is money out of thin air.
(Many banks in eg UK and Germany currently lend less than 100% of deposits so the money exists or at least is not created by the Bank)
No its not. The system is fractional. There is a very big difference. If it was not fractional, then the global wealth will end up being about 3% of what it currently is or even less potentially. Truth is, no one knows what would be the case, because it is untried and tested, but we can presume it is not going to be good for anyone.
They are creating IOUs. Just like any trading business, the stockmarket, and even your local green grocer buying produce from primary producers. He effectively has a rolling account whenever he makes an order.
Just like an aircraft getting fuel at Heathrow. You don't see the pilot come out with a VISA, but the Oil company will send the airline an account and they probably do that immediately through electronically means. It is an IOU until the Airline transfers money electronically to the Oil company through electronic means in which case it is an IOU within the Banking system. All these Billions of transactions need to be supported.
A Bank can create an IOU as well, but it is a far cry from creating money from thin air.
This is all pretty basic stuff, but some people a deliberately propagating propaganda. Fact is, if fractional Banking and the IOU system stops tomorrow. there would be chaos and anarchy on the streets. No one will be able to work and businesses will shut down immediately. Just imagine! All the money in your accounts, will disappear for a start. Your pensions, wages, everything. Airlines will need a baggage compartment of cash to pay the Oil company to get fuel. Not going to happen, but just think of the ramifications on a global scale.
Which is why the system is actually quite robust and very well run.
Just because the Banks in Cyprus were corrupt and a bunch of idiots doesn't mean that the Banks everywhere else operate the same way. It just goes to show, that in Cyprus there is a much bigger issue than the Banks themselves. That's what it comes down to.
Just because a bank manager's koumbaro, who happens to own a Developing company is no reason to approve any lending if the business is not on solid financial foundations. This is what happened in Cyprus. The Banks were giving out loans to people who could not afford them. In the normal world, non-performing loans are between 1 to 4%.
It hapenned in America too with Lehman Brothers. The difference in America is that it is a massive economy and marketplace. A failure of a particular Bank is not going to bring all of the USA on its knees. It will have an effect but not as much as a Bank like Laiki or BoC going down in Cyprus.
Which obviously means, the Banks need to be prudent and not look at Koumbarous!