Now learn the real story.
What ..... from your point of view? You have been wrong in most of your predictions since the day Putin took control of events in Syria.
The reason for Russia's withdrawal are several and I shall go through them one by one so that you people can learn something from the real world.
The REAL world is not a single source, uninformed rant about the way you would like to see events. Reality is ..... how it happens. What has happened is that Putin has shoved the West’s sole aim of ‘Assad must go!’ where the Sun don’t shine, along with Kerry’s ‘Plan B’. Putin is now running the show ........... get used to it!
The reasons are as follows:
You mean the reasons as you see them?
1) Russia is in a steep economic decline and soon could be at the brink of a complete collapse and Government Shutdown thanks to the flooding of excess Oil onto the market by Saudi Arabia and the embargoes by the EU, and APEC. This war was fought on many fronts, including the economic front and here, the KSA has the upper hand and so do the Coalition Partners.
What rubbish ..... the Saudi’s are almost bankrupt .... and another great US plan has hit the skids when it misfired and has lead to economic problems for EVERYONE including the US. Fracking, the US mainstay, is no longer economically viable, plus in California the amount of oil they thought they would get through fracking, has been overestimated by 95%!!!!!!
This Russian collapse will be unprecedented in Global Terms and will dwarf Greece's Collapse and even the downturn in China. That is one contributing factor and a very big bargaining chip for the Rebels since Russia's economy is 50% based on Oil Production. Yes, Oil is what Russia is interested in, as well as its bases and it just so happens that we control the price per barrel and can hold Putin to ransom. Of course, you will never here this on the MSA but read, listen and learn.
Just in case you haven’t noticed .... China still has a growth rate the West can only dream of! Russia, Iran and China are trading directly in energy products without the petro dollar, that is a serious threat to the US. You don’t control the oil price ‘you’ are subject to the same forces as Russia ..... the markets determine the price and when the US or its allies interfere, like every thing else they do there are unintended consequences for every one else as well.
If you were better informed you would realise that the Worlds economy/financial system, is teetering on the edge of the abyss, including ALL the major powers including the USA. A big, big change is coming ...... watch this space! You should read, listen, watch and learn something about the financial and monetary system ...... it is orders of magnitude a greater threat to our welfare than terrorism!
2) Pootin knows very well that there will not be a Military Solution in Syria and it has a massive fear of getting caught in a Syrian Quagmire similar to their adventure in Afghanistan a few decades ago.
Did you not read/watch Putin’s statement(s) when he decided, at Assad’s invitation, to assist him to destroy US/NATO armed and supported terrorists. He said that Russia’s role was a short term one and that he had no intention of creating another humanitarian disaster like Iraq or Libya, that the US and its partners seem to excel at. He said he would destroy ALL terrorists and he has shown the US precisely how to deal with them, so listen and learn!!
Putin’s goals have been achieved as per plan , as promised and this has left Assad in a position to be able to resolve his own problems ............ provided of course your bloody coalition does not poke its nose in and rearm the terrorists. But then Putin is on the end of a telephone line and any attempt by the coalition to destroy the gains from Russian intervention toward a political settlement and he will come back to finish what he stared and blow your ‘moderate rebels’ asses inside out, once and for all!
And we would be very happy to trap them in that quagmire as well as bring his economy down to its knees where he will have all the IMF Bankers arrive on his doorstep. Not that he will be able to fight the war like the Russians did in Afghanistan for nearly a decade because he would not have the capital to even maintain his aircraft.
It won’t happen! I believe the Russians have spent just a few million more in ‘practicing’ their skills in Syria in a live war situation than they would have in doing training exercises.
Putin is too smart for the US bankers, why do you think Russia and the other BRICS nations have set up their own International banking system? (i.e. their own WB/IMF) Why do you think these countries are dumping the petro dollar and trading in national currencies? Who has been buying up all the worlds gold ? ...... Russia and China!...... whilst another great US plan to hold gold prices artificially low, has back fired. What do they know that you have yet to comprehend?
3) Because he knows the choices are for a political solution and not a military solution (resulting in a massive quagmire)
Exactly as he originally set out in 2012 and ‘you’ ignored him. When you threatened the National interests of Russia he stepped in, took control and carried a plan out to the letter. All the coalition could do was stand aside and learn how to do it from Russia. His plan worked, it is the US coalition that is in the quagmire!
The momentum at the peace talks seems to indicate that there is growing momentum for a Technocratic Administrative Coalition of all Opposition Rebels plus Baathist representatives to take over the "throne" from Assad. Yes Assad was read the riot act by Pootin pressuring him that he must get serious about negotiating a proper Political Solution for Syria and that Russia will not be around to bail Assad's arse again.
Wrong again! Assad will remain for some time yet, what you are quoting is the ‘moderates’ and the Kerry wish list. Russian forces are being partially withdrawn and this was discussed with Assad before Putin made his statement. He didn’t even bother to discuss it with the US coalition as they are now of no military relevance in Syria. But he will retain sufficient air power to deter the US coalition from making any ill advised moves to revert to a furtherance of conflict. Didn’t you say the cease fire wouldn’t work and that it would be Assad/Russia that would be the first to break it? You were wrong again!
4) this is a politically face saving withdrawal, and we are happy for the Russians to save face and call it a great step towards peace and political transition for Syria, since that is what is going to happen.
Russia has no need for a face saving exit strategy ..... ‘face saving’ is for your coalition to make use of. To give Putin his due he is not trying to rub your noses in your failure to achieve anything of note in almost three years. It was all hot air, bullsh*t and threats with a liberal helping of lies! You sort out Iraq! That was your screw up so ‘you’ sort it out ...... maybe you could ask Putin for a few tips on how to achieve results.
If all goes well, Saudi Arabia and Russia could even agree to cut Oil Production rather than just freeze production which will save Russia's economy and Pootin's political hide. We might be nice enough to loosen some of the embargoes and perhaps even abolish them completely in a few years!
As you indicate the Saudis and the Russians, who both get most of their income from oil and gas, will sort it out to suit themselves ............ not the US.
Make no mistake about it, but Pootin's arse belongs to us. It depends on him how hard and how big the pineapples will be!
You live in a dream world .......... the US coalition has been well and truly stuffed by Putin!
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/ ... rm-decline
http://www.focus-economics.com/countries/russia
You have posted this economic data for Russia ..... but you obviously don’t understand it! Try the same exercise with the US economy!
But I will leave you again to ponder on this reality for yourselves.
It is not reality, it is a very simplistic and ever so slightly biased view that you have. As seems so often to be the case, you are the only one marching in step, even the BBC, the MSM are out of step ..... let alone all the informed independent news outlets! Stop reading the Boomerang Herald it will only come back around to stuff you up the fundamental orifice!