Tim Drayton wrote:Paphitis wrote:Oh yes, in comes Iran!
And what of the 13 million Sunnis now, Allah only knows.
This is going to get very rough and very bloody for Iran, Syria and Russia. Lucky the coalition didn't send Ground Troops. now the entire Arab World is going to be against them and the Gulf States are going to be the other factor and they are going to be sending Billions worth in arms - Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, UAE, Bahrain etc
Good morning Vietnam!
Several years ago some people who appeared to be in the know were saying that Assad released those Islamists from prison (and reputedly dangerous patients from mental hospitals) and then just sat back, laughing his head off, knowing that he only had to bide his time. I think perhaps he has decided now that the time has come. After all, with waves of Syrian refugees now arriving in Europe, this is bound to tip the scales in favour of those who say let's just restore peace and order in Syria, and if that means Assad, so be it. After all, the option of bringing in allies Russia and Iran always existed. Perhaps he was just waiting for the right moment to call them in. I think this is a bit like a game of poker and the US and the rest of the West will probably not call Russia and Iran's bluff and let them get on with it. The alternative course of action risks, as you say, igniting world war. It's not the end I would wish to see, but this is how I see things stacking up.
Some analysts are also saying that Obama made a huge mistake not launching Airstrikes against Assad in the wake of the Chemical attacks on his own citizens in Damascus. They are saying that the USA should have taken out his entire Air Force, and any base even suspected of having Chemical and Biological weapons. He was going to do this until Putin intervened and force Assad to allow UN inspectors and surrender his entire Chemical and a Biological Arsenal.
I tend to agree with these analysts too but just short of removing Assad perhaps until a plan is formulated for a seamless transition rather than create a devastating vacuum.