Nikitas wrote:Pyro said:
"We have no other option but to risk it and just hope for the best."
Strongly disagree about hoping for the best. Wise people prepare for both the best and the worst, by making sure the initial agreement is sound and by having contingency plans for all scenarios. Soysal has already indicated that the TC and Turkish sides are planning for he contingency of dissolution of the federal state. Look it up.
If that happens then what? Which community inherits the statehood of the state? See the problem?
And that is the reason I keep on harping about the territory being the first and most important aspect of any agreement. Dissolution along with a territorial dispute is one hell of a nightmare. The territory issue must be settled in terms that are clear and unequivocal and signed by both TCs and Turkey along the lines that they relinquish ALL claims to any part of the island, and its territorial waters and EEZ, (not the republic, the island). They forget that which is outside the territorial settlement granted to them in the new agreement. And it goes without saying that the demarcation line should be rationally laid out, not like the "teats' of the Annan maps, and easily monitored and policed.
It should also be made clear that the division is along the lines of TCs in the north and ALL other communities in the south, and that the British bases burden the south and will revert to it if and when the British leave. These are important aspects of any settlement, far more important than the governance etc we wasted decades discussing knowing full well the other side considers them garbage.
Anything else is simply a problem waiting to happen.
When I said "risk it" I actually meant the equality thing.
I am sorry but I don't share your fears for an eventual dissolution. Those fears were valid before Cyprus became an EU member, in fact I 've heard of the plan to first trick the GCs in accepting BBF and next step (dissolution) would be a piece of cake for the kinds of like Soysal. First of all Soysal was a Denktash oglani you must know that, and as such had every reason to draft ways for a dissolution. He may even these days pretend to "leak" his plans , but today he is doing it for another reason-to scare the GCs hence make the solution impossible.
Now suppose there was a final BBF solution under which of course both Federal parts would be in the EU. What would dissolution possibly mean for the GC Federal State. Out of the EU?? I don't think so. What about the TC Fed state? Out of the EU? That would be stupid for them and more stupid for Turkey. Inside the EU then? If yes that would be even more stupid. BBF evaporates, and they will in no time end up another GC state.
Actually the TCs do need the GCs both to maintain bizonality, and to stand up on their own feed, and to have a future.Turkey needs the Fed Cyprus to get rid of the bela-yes the Tcs and the Cyprus prob is a bela for her, and secondly to have a friendly country that would support her in her EU path.Disarmament serves her fine she doesn't need bases.
Don't look at the fanatics who are all low IQ. Look at the bright TCs, thank God some of them passed through this forum, I can assure you we are at the exact same wavelength, they are often accused of holding GC views have you ever wondered why?
I am not saying we should not be careful about the eventual agreement, but should concentrate on important issues not far fetched fears.