Atheist wrote:Nikitas wrote:The enemy is not one hundred times bigger than us. On the ground, as explained above, the forces are about equal.
The purpose of the CNG now, (and this was stated even by mild mannered and "progressive" Greek politicians like George Papandreou), is to resist long enough for either a cease fire or a generalised Greek Turkish conflict which will reach from Famagusta to the Evros river in norther Greece.
Putting the situation in terms of who is and who is not chicken etc, is not the way to deal with it. Neither is disarming. Can you be so sure that the Turks will not push to take over the whole island, as Davutoglu often said their long term objective is? Read his books. They will tell you a lot about the opponent.
And the Russians didn't send the whole Russian army to defeat the Georgians. They just send us much as it was needed. If the Turks wanted to take the whole Cyprus militarily they could have upgraded / increased their troops as needed and then proceed.
If the Turks wanted to take the whole Cyprus what is stopping them is not CNG, but the consequences they could face (sanctions etc).
Unlike partition which was an option from the 50s (and discussed with the British) where they could send GCs to the south, occupying the whole of Cyprus would mean either a genocide of 800.000 people, or turning Cypriots into Palestinians, which would be an ongoing problem for them in their international relations far bigger than the problems that their current occupation causes to them. It is this that stops them from taking the rest of Cyprus, and not because Erdogan or Davutoglu care to sacrifice some Turkish troops to get the job done.
Turkey wants to control Cyprus in other ways. Via a solution that would make the whole Cyprus their vassal and not by actually occupying the whole island. And I repeat: If they wanted to occupy the whole island, casualties caused by the CNG would be the least of their concerns.
What brings us closer and closer to accepting a solution that will make us a Turkish vassal is the fact that we are broke and our debtors are using that as a leverage to force us to close the Cyprus problem as soon as possible. This makes wasting money on the useless CNG doubly stupid.
That would have been Turkey's biggest mistake right there.
Unfortunately, they were a lot smarter than we gave them credit for.