I based my prediction on analyses by Şener Elçil and Niyazi Kızılyürek on CYBC's Biz/Emeis programme in the last couple of weeks, actually, so kudos to them rather than me.
I think the result is significant. There is no suggestion that Ankara interfered in the election itself, and this essentially boiled down to a referendum between the federation that Akıncı supports and the confederation that Eroğlu supports, and the majority of the population of the de-facto TRNC supported the former, including a portion of those who have moved there from Turkey and acquired citizenship. This rekindles hope that a federal solution may be possible.
I also felt that the voters' rejection of the CTP candidate as Eroğlu's natural opponent was telling. Does this mean that they do not like the way this party, with its left of centre and secular position, has been so ready to align itself with the ruling AKP party in Turkey?
Of course Ankara is still capable of derailing the process, but the fact is that a federal solution is at least possible with Akıncı as interlocutor, whereas it was inconceivable with Eroğlu. The ball is now in Anastasiades' court.