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[Paphitis]

RAAF AP-3C Orions were deployed to the Search area today.

http://www.news.com.au/travel/travel-up ... 7169238386

[Paphitis]

[Paphitis]

OK guys, here is my theory.

OK the last Radar fix has QZ8501 at a Ground Speed of 363Knots at 36300FT and climbing.

Quite possibly, the aircraft had penetrated a CB cell before this point which it was trying to avoid by climbing and diverting West of Track.



The aircraft was already in a lot of trouble.

The Turbulence Penetration Speed is 270KIAS (knots indicated) - this speed needs to be corrected for pressure altitude of 36300FT

I will assume that the Corrected Airspeed (CAS) and Indicated Airspeed (IAS) are the same.

Now:

TAS = IAS/sqrt(delta)

Delta = Ratio of Air Density to International Standard Atmosphere Sea Level Pressure = 270/(T+273.15) * (P/1013.25)

P= Ambient pressure in HPa(mB)

T= ambient temperature in degrees celsius

Now, pressure adiabatic lapse rate at 36300FT gives us an Ambient P of 225hPa

Ambient Outside Air Temperature is -56.5 degrees celsius - T = -56.5

The above is assuming normal International Standard Atmosphere Adiabatic Lapse rates.

http://weatherfaqs.org.uk/book/export/html/174

Therefore: 270/(-56.5+273.15) * (225/1013.25)

therefore TAS = 75knots

Therefore at Turbulence Penetration Speed, the aircraft was about to enter a DEEP Stall and drop from the sky like a shower of shit! (sorry about the crudeness).

My calculations do not take into consideration CAS, or actual lapse rates because these are the unknowns until we recover the Black box.

[Paphitis]

CASE CLOSED until we get the Black Box.

Conspiracy Theorists take a hike and open your own thread!

[Oceanside50]

Dp