Tim Drayton wrote:What a shame. Sunni tribal leaders in the area are just asking for reinclusion in Iraqi politics and say they will then get rid of Islamic State themselves. It could have been so easy - presuming the goal was to preserve Iraq's unity. How are you going to bomb Islamic State positions without killing lots of innocent local people as well? Ever thought that this may not look good to world opinion and may also drive more locals into the arms of the Islamic State. Nice toys, by the way.
I think the strategy is to bomb the IS and get them on the move towards Syria. Once they are on the move, they will be easy pickings and decimated on the open roads, at least in Iraq.
There appears to be no strategy with respect to IS in Syria, although I believe, the US is not going to allow the IS to have Syria as its refuge. Once they decide what the plan is, then the air campaign will cross into Syria against the IS.
This war is NOT a war against the Sunnis. The US has already mentioned its disapproval of the actions of Maliki, and blame him somewhat for all this. The master plan is to install some kind of Government in Iraq that is willing to represent all Iraqis and not just the SHIA. Whether that is easily achievable is another matter.
However, the west is developing its own proxy in the Kurdish Peshmerga.
The Sunni tribal leaders are safe. The Air Campaign is against the IS and the US will be eager for their participation in the Governance of Iraq - which Maliki refused to do.