by Pyrpolizer » Sat Mar 29, 2014 11:54 pm
And another.
I am sure some parts could be quite interesting to Kikapu
Any newly presumed disappearing point will quite accurately shift the presumed results (which are far from being accurate by themselves) by the same shift. That is because the small change in angle to the satellite will create smaller differences than possible shifts in speed or distances.
It doesn't make sense to me, that if there were disappearance attempts, the plane would go over Malaysian land after it disappeared, and westerly direction is the most likely it went in, at least, for going around land before it turns back to the south (if it did).
Since last spotted until the next ping there could be enough time to shift the reference point between 0 and 1000 Km, so if we presume a 500 KM westerly shift, and the previously estimated (in a response above) 1,000 Km of potential total westerly shift, the estimated northern corridor given by Inmarsat would pivot by 10-15 degrees on the newly presumed location where the first ping after the disappearance occurs
In numbers, the last position was tracked at 02:15. The last hourly ping occurred at 08:11, meaning, Inmarsat got the first ping after last known position at 03:11. That is, almost an hour after disappearing, a fact that could position the plane 900 Km to the west when it pinged. That is half way to the tip of India. If we position the corridor at this point, the estimated rout could go over the Himalaya to Afghanistan and with the possible 1000 Km possible shift due to increased speed, it would be Iran.
Another scenario is that If the plane continued further west for another ping, it would reach a point of turning north, west of India, before the 3rd ping. superposition the the northern corridor at this turning point, will lead the plane to the Gulf of Iran.
Now, the 777 is a very long range plane and some versions of it can fly 16 hours! I did not study this specific Malaysian plane and there are no details of its fuel content. I believe the plane should be able to fly more than 8 hours because to destination it need to fly 6 hours and in case of a problem it should be able to reach an alternative airport, or fly over for some time.
So, the fact that it stopped pinging after 7 hours implies that it reach "destination" rather than burned all its fuel.
Landing spot can be anywhere between the Gobi desert and the Arabian Desert, including all the mountain range of the Mammalia, then of course the Australian desert, north to Perth
Last edited by
Pyrpolizer on Sun Mar 30, 2014 12:13 am, edited 1 time in total.