Paphitis:
Interest Only Loans are not for home buyers at all. These products do not suit the needs of Home Buyers. If these borrowers can only afford Interest only, then they shouldn't be getting a loan in the first place.
I think your conception is wrong on that! I bought my first house in the UK with an interest only mortgage in 1970. I moved four times, each time raising the level of mortgage, before quitting to live in Cyprus in 1994. The principal is not just that you don’t pay back the capital but it was a case of getting tax-relief on the interest and using that as the premium payment (
or part of) on Whole Life Insurance Policies that had a final value including predicted bonuses, equal to or greater than the capital sum borrowed. In my case I sold the house in ‘94, paid off the mortgage (
easily) and then later the policies paid out considerably more than the policy life assured value.
However, what I would say is that it would not work now as the returns are insufficient/unstable and this will hit many who took out mortgages on an interest only basis some years after I did.
BTW: This is an interesting thread and my answer to the original question would be YES .......... but the UK will not be alone and neither will they be the first to go under. What seems to be missed on here is the fact that all these ‘
expert’ predictions are being made by the same people that, in spite of their abundant knowledge and crystal ball gazing, just managed to miss ..........Lehman Bros failure, Sub-Prime Mortgages, the Dot.Com bubble; the housing bubble, LIBOR rate fixing, the risk to the world economy of Derivatives and the even greater risk to the world economy of an out-of-control banking and financial '
industry'! An ‘
industry’ which has managed to turn a service sector provider for wealth creation, into a dysfunctional ‘
industry’ that has proved that wealth creation is no longer necessary to get rich!!! So their opinion is as valid as predicting the future using Tarot Cards!
Until these ‘
experts’ get together and completely re-structure the banking and financial sector and put the creation of ‘
money’ in the hands of Central Banks that belong to the people (
Governments) and not the Bankers ........ the slippery slope will just get steeper and more slippery!