Greek Island Girl said:
Absolutely give Cyprus time! In those 53 years, we had to undo 300 years of slavery under the Ottomans, then a century under suppressive British colonial rule...............etc ................................ etc .........
....................etc .......................................etc................................... Cyprus has had a lot more to contend with than Iceland and anyone who cannot see that is simply dismissively discriminatory - and has their eyes closed to the cyclical suffering Cyprus has had forced upon it.
I absolutely agree with you but really none of these events, whilst it was a brake on the country’s development, should effect the way Cyprus deals with its financial problem. What I have noticed is that many posters on this and other forums regard it as a single event, when in fact it can be divided into two different problems.
The first is the fiscal deficit where the government has been spending more than it has been receiving. The reasons are simply living beyond their means. The public sector was allowed to expand way beyond that which was required, with many of the civil service posts given to relatives and promotion based on length of service rather than merit. The Government gave in to the Unions who have become far too powerful, just like they did in the UK in the 60’s and 70’s and allowed the wage/benefits bill for the public sector to expand out of control. When this happens the Unions then start acting against the country’s interests in preference to their members. And many similar problems all of which can be solved
'in house'.
The Govt. allowed the tourist industry to decline because nobody looked ahead and made plans to ensure that this annual source of income was maintained and nurtured to provide a good product in a competitive market. It was all short term gains and that was a mistake. Again with property it was allowed to develop unchecked. Building standards don’t seem to exist or were/are out of date and of course there was the farce of the banks making loans to developers but allowing them to sell on what the banks were holding as collateral.
So, these causes can be put down to poor governance and incompetence, because the top jobs were preordained and given to the Cyprus Elite and their Families and in many of those cases the person doing the job was incompetent but ‘
connections’ meant there was nobody to get rid of them. So this is purely something Cyprus has to address and put right.
The second part of the problem is the banking fiasco. I do not put all the blame for this on any individuals because all they were doing is what banks all over the Globe are doing and it is only a matter of time before the whole banking/financial system collapses anyway. It was just that Cyprus was caught out by putting so much fiat money into Greek Bonds which then nose dived. (
The Global Banking problem is the practice of ‘fractional reserve Banking’ where what you deposit into the bank is then used by the bank to multiply and produce enormous amounts of money out of thin air (fiat money), which they then use to gamble with. You may have heard of derivatives? When that ‘product’ goes belly up, the amount of money required to bail out that banking crisis will be over 20 times the total annual GDP of the whole planet and that runs into $ quadrillions!)
The part of the banking problem that does lie with Cyprus is the lending to developers and allowing the loans to be rolled up whilst the developer sold the land to buyers and pocketed the proceeds instead of paying off the loan. By the time the banks got around to chasing up the loan, the developer had disappeared or gone bankrupt and the bank was stuck with the problem of masses of land/property that had been sold on, and the loan not paid off ................... to me that is criminal.
The solution for Cyprus in the simplest of terms is:
1. Reduce expenditure.
2. Increase income.
Now ..... how to do that is another story, which is why I found Appel’s post interesting because Cyprus could lead the way by remaining in the EU but ditching the Euro and splitting the banking sector into Retail banks and casino banks. Protect and ring fence the first and cast the second adrift and leave it to sort out its own problems but no bail outs. The Cyprus Central bank would '
print' its own money (
real money) and would not need to get it from the ECB as it does now.
It is the investment banks (
Casino Banks) that are the problem as this is where the collapse will come. The problem with splitting the banks if introduced on a global scale is that, those that run the banking and financial system would become ‘
poor’ (
relatively speaking) overnight because fractional reserve banking would disappear, the countries would revert to their own currencies and the private banks means to create fortunes out of nothing would evaporate. But on a small scale as it was in Iceland and could be in Cyprus, it is possible because it is much easier to control.
Iceland’s banking problems were no different to those in Cyprus. If I were Anastasiades I would have people in Iceland picking their brains and putting together a plan and then implementing it, not going begging to the EU Eurocrats in Brussels.