Viewpoint wrote:Maximus wrote:Viewpoint wrote:Maximus wrote:but whatever happens, the gas will still get to market without Turkey needing to be in the equation.
You are right but highly priced gas will not find any buyers when countries can easily buy cheaper from countries who can transportt their resources far more cheaply.
The question is how many more years may it take to recoup the initial investment to pipe the gas through Greece, instead of paying Turkey a toll as a middle man, always. Will it take 5 more years, 10 more years ? The pipeline going through Greece, cutting Turkey out all together may well be the cheaper option over the long term.
We are talking about gas reserves to potentially supply Europes needs for multiple generations.
Cost to one side which in itself will be astronomical and if taken on will take maybe 15 years or more to recoup but a pipline to Greece will face not only technical problems due to the distance involved but also political problems due to it being internnational waters and and area frequented by many ships, the dangers involved will far outweight the possiblity of such a project getting a green light.
You make it sound as if the gas pipes will be floating on the surface of the sea that will become dangers to the ships. Why are you not showing the same concerns for the long promised water being piped from Turkey to Cyprus? It too will go through International waters, will it not? While on the subject, why would there be any political problems with anyone if pipes are going through international waters? As far as cost goes to bypass Turkey, it does not all need to be bored by Cyprus alone. The way Turkey is going about it's foreign policy from no problems with it's neighbours to NO neighbours at all, there could be as many as 7 countries all paying towards it, as well as Gaza in the future, if and when they become a state. With hundreds of Gas and Oil platforms in the Med spread from Syria to Libya to Greece which can become a spiders web of pipelines all connecting to the main pipe going to Greece to supply the EU, it will most definitely be the most economical way to bypass Turkey in the long run.
At the moment Turkey is not a trusted partner in the neighbourhood to anything, so why even take the risk. Sometimes you need to spend the money to have a peace of mind, just like paying for insurance on your health, your car or your house. You may never need to use it, but it's there when needed. It is not a wasted money. We use to have a saying when we were sailing in the Caribbean and South America, that "you can go broke by trying to save", which meant of course, if you needed to buy something for the boat, was to buy something of quality at a price that would last a long time than buying something with inferior quality at cheaper price that would last only a short time. Over time, it would become far more expensive in replacing cheap parts often than a quality part at a price that would last much longer. No difference here.