for certain, in or out of the eurozone, it's going to spell austerity...i do not think the greeks can get away from this...
the real question is in or our...
out means having to pay everything in cash, and if you owe money maybe not supplying...if anyone supplies it would be overpriced, good old no choice so put the boot in...greece can print money but there will come a time when toilet paper will be more expensive than the paper trying to pay for it...no industry, cost of living high meaning no foreign companies will be invsesting...unemployment stays high...cutting the lifestyle is not gonna happen...greece could try her hand in nationalization, but that would pretty seal her fate as no one will ever trust her as a country...
the obvious solution for me is to stay in the euro, negotiate a payback scheme with a fixed interest, frozen, where she starts paying back only when growth reaches 1%-2% ...so it's to the best interest of everyone for greecey to do well and help her get there quickly so they can get paid...as i said earlier austerities are gonna kick in, reigning in bloated government, pensions and tax evation...the challenge is getting the future and current unemployed employment with not so much of an industry...one way is to offer tax free company profits to foreign companies locked to about 20 years, along with land pacrcels for building factories...ok greece does not earn directly money from the foreign companies, but she will with all the services and all the taxes from the workers...this will actually benefit the eu, rather than eu countries chasing china or even turkey because of cheap labour they can start in greece, with real offsets, 20 year freehold lease factories and no company taxes, maybe max 5% over 20 years...she needs to counterbalance the high cost of living with something to attract foreign investement...
after 20 years chasing tax heavens, i come to the realisation world wide protectionism coming back in the near future...this will also help countries with unemployment and re-investing in there country...
end of the day greece needs a plan...too much time wasted in chasing her tail...she needs to demonstrate how she is going to go forward...regardless if she is in or out of the eurozone...
has greece announced any plans yet?...all i see is politicians playing the blame games...it's time greece started maturing...