GreekIslandGirl wrote:Panicos UK wrote:GreekIslandGirl wrote:Shutting the stable door once the horse has bolted are we?
Is the Treaty of Guarantee "still in effect" today, would you say "Panicos"?
What's with the speech marks? My respect for you is getting lower every time you post. In answer to your question, I don't know. I'm not an expert on international law. What would you say?
But you have an MA in Politics (?); surely your opinion would be more valid than mine.
- From your topic title, one could presume that you think that it no longer is "in effect".
International Relations actually. I don't know GIG. I would have said that whatever the documents original aim (preventing ENOSIS and TAKSIM), history has shown us that the Treaty of Guarantee is open to manipulation (that's putting it mildly). It is also in violation of the EU aquis communitaire, so I would say on balance that today in 2012, the Treaty is NULL and VOID. However, if the Annan Plan had been approved the ToG would have been resurrected with extended intervention rights for Turkey. Thank God it wasn't approved. Whenever I hear a Greek Cypriot say 'the Greek Cypriots are stupid, they should have voted for the Annan Plan', I get annoyed and lose it for this reason. That plan belongs in the joke section. It would be funny if it wasn't so serious.
You could argue that regardless of whether or not the ToG had existed, Turkey would still have invaded. In this respect, the only party the Treaty benefits is Turkey. Also someone on here mentioned the Treaty of Lausanne (1923). In light of this Treaty, up until 1959, Turkey had no priviledges or interests as regards Cyprus whatsoever. The Treaty of Guarantee put Turkey back in the frame, so again in this respect, it only benefits Turkey. At present, the RoC is the last line of defence for the Greek Cypriots. We now are part of the EU, so we have added protection, and currently with an Israeli alliance and US firms on board for this gas extraction venture, I would say we are in the best position we have ever been. The only let down is our President who is incompetent, but hopefully he will be gone soon.
However, the thread title relates to the situation in 1974. Regardless of what we say or what was said at the time, Turkey still used the Treaty as a pretext to intervene (even though we know now that they weren't planning to restore constitutional order). Unfortunately in International politics, 'might is right'. The USA stopped an invasion in 1964 which means they could have stopped it in 1974.
Bottom Line: I would say the Treaty currently is NULL and VOID taking into account EU membership and other factors. In 1974 with the instability in the region, I would say the Treaty still had teeth. Also after the invasion, the UN Security Council passed a resolution condemning Turkey for failing to abide by the ToG. So in their view (after the invasion), the Treaty was still 'in effect' (notice how I've used quotation marks as opposed to " " speech marks)