Kikapu wrote:Lordo wrote:there were some pibol here who claimed that this was a trap and terggy will suffer and some even said terggy will be attacked and split and one bitch claimed we would end up in ulan batur. well strange enough we is still in lefkosa and we intend to stay there some time.
By all indications Erdogan will walk away empty handed from this deal, which will be a political defeat for him. First Trump gives Erdogan the green light to go into Syria and as Erdogan hesitates to do just that, Trump sends an insulting letter to Erdogan almost daring him to go into Syria knowing full well Erdogan would react to show his manhood, so he goes into Syria all guns blazing to be told by the Americans to halt his fire and the Russians and Assad forces take over from the YPG. As soon as Erdogan realizes that he has been double crossed both by Russia and the Americans, he might just blow a fuse and start a full scale war in Syria with whomever is in his way. He is the kind of a man to take such a bait. If he does, it will be fireworks for his forces in the deserts of Syria as the airspace is closed for him.
I hear what you are saying but it just seems to me
10 days ago
Kurdish nationalist forces had de facto autonomous (from assad and from turkey) presence in and control of large areas of northern Syria including a large section of border with Turkey.
Assad and or Russian forces had no presence in the area and not had for around the previous 6 years ?
5 days from now it seems likely that
Kurdish nationalist forces will have conceded. politically, a large amount of autonomy from assad and lost physical military presence in 'corridor' on the Turkish border.
Assad and Russian forces have physical presence in areas they had not had for the previous 6 years, without having to fire a shot.
On that basis the biggest 'losers' are, it seems to me, the Kurdish nationalists. 'Winners' include Turkey, Assad and Russia. I have no idea what the USA gets from this change, outside of domestic politically partisan spin fodder and even that is dubious ?