by repulsewarrior » Sun Jun 23, 2019 1:52 am
...indeed if i was a Kurd, and Syrian, i would be even more apprehensive at the moment.
...although it crossed my mind, how Russia is allied with Turkey, and how that is going, in Syria; there are a lots of question marks. Turkey in that regard is even less secure than i had thought. In effect, Russia is a welcome ally in Syria, Assad sees Iran in a friendly light as well, Turkey now depends on Russia in Idlib to keep Syria from obliterating, his presence there, and, his allies. He has reason to fear a refugee storm crossing his border, all the indications are there, that this may happen, without Russia, or in an untimely fashion perhaps.
...i feel that Cyprus, with his ambitions over this Sea, will dovetail with his actions in Syria, to add stress, to his unceasing maximalist demands; he may have confidence in Putin's similar desire to disrupt the existing balance of power, and that he can see an advantage for his own State. On the other hand, Erdogan may go too far. Putin may not need a war in the E. Med. as much as he does, Syria being enough. He may find himself alone, in a state where the Western word is on the brink of War, with him. Whether the Bosporus is a gate wide open to Putin, or not, it will not go unnoticed, the cost of which would be astronomically high, in lives no doubt and capital, lost. And while there remains the possibility of unity in Cyprus, of the rest of the world, with Cypriots, as is the present case, (now for decades, and with the E. Med Energy Forum a fact), Erdogan may pay deeply, if it is in Cyprus, the USA and Russia agree.