Paphitis:
He won't be moving East. If he was going to do that he would have already done it.
I am surprised as a military man you would think that. It is not a blitzkrieg ...... consolidate around Afrin and then move Eest toward Manjib would be my bet. You may believe a mad charge is better?
I don't think Erdogan is stupid or an idiot. neither is Pootin. Both are ego-maniacs but they are no fools. Erdogan isn't that brave. In WW2 they couldn't even take sides even though they favoured the Germans but ended up joining the allies in 1945 when they were assured victory
.
How did Putin come into this? It’s between
YOU. Erdogan and the Kurdish proxies. Putin will do what suits Putin as he watches the US try to punch their way out of another paper bag.
And he can kiss the F-35s Goodbye as well. Congress will not permit deliver
Putin will sell him suitable replacements that are far more practical for the sort of war he is fighting. Say the SU-35 ? It is cheaper and can pretty well match the F-35 and most of the other US air combat ai craft. It's less complex and is very rugged. Then of course he will get a refund if the US backs out of the contract or he will seize their assets in Syria.
The biggest threat to the Kurds is Syria and Iran's Hezbollah. With regard to Turkey, we can hurt them in different ways and on multiple fronts.
Of course ...... the Kurds are trying to affect a land theft and the Syrians don’t like it. Do you blame them? After all Assad did offer them autonomy within a State of Syria, even though they were trying to oust him on
YOUR behalf, but
YOU offered them a better deal, so they went on fighting for you. Boy are they going to be pissed off when YOU sell them up the river Euphrates!
YOU can’t touch Turkey without destroying the core principal of NATO ........ you know the ‘all-for-one-and-one-for-all’ creed.
And yes, I meant Kurds.