Piratis wrote:supporttheunderdog wrote:Hermes wrote:supporttheunderdog wrote: beyond it would not surprise me if one of the PIGS did not leave first, or rather is invited to leave as the rest of Europe gets fed up with the repeated bail-outs,
There are two things wrong with this statement. Firstly, there is no legal mechanism by which a member of the EU can be "invited" to leave the EU. Secondly, Greece’s eurozone partners are lending this money, not gifting it.
In other words, those contributing to the "bail-outs" are making a profit on their investment and the majority of their money is being returned to European banks that have in the past bought Greek bonds. These banks are mainly German and French Banks which would collapse without these "bail-outs" because they lent recklessly and are technically insolvent as a result.
See the following
http://www.incyprus.com.cy/en-gb/Cyprus/4170/24731/euro-exit-warninghttp://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/8990974/Greece-out-of-euro-if-bail-out-fails.htmlI suspect that if anything the French and German Governments will let Greece go to the wall but bail out their banks. I am, also sure a way can be found to ease someone out of the EU, evenn if new laws have to be created.
I think this shows how bad Enosis would have been for Cyprus: indeed apart from some vague arguments about security no one has yet demonstrated in what way Enosis would have benefited the average Cypriot Citizen: I would go so far as to say that it was the call for Enosis and attempts to implement it that undermined the security of Cyprus since it ultimately lead to the events of 1963/74 and in particular to the Invasion on 1974, where the Greeks, having invaded and provoked the Turkish Invasion then effectively abandoned Cyprus to the Turkish invaders.
I stand by my thesis that Enosis would have turned Cyprus into an economic backwater.
Rhodes, the 3rd biggest Greek island, which also had a Muslim/Turkish minority and is just a few kilometers from Turkey, united with the rest of Greece in 1947.
Crete, the 2nd biggest Greek island, which also had a Muslim/Turkish minority, united with the rest of Greece in 1913.
Today there is no Rhodes Problem or Crete Problem, but there is a Cyprus Problem. We are talking about 1/3rd of our island occupied by Turks and 100s of thousands of refuges, a problem far bigger and far more difficult to truly resolve than any temporary financial crisis.
If Cyprus was allowed to unite with the rest of Greece in the 50s or even earlier as the Cypriot people wanted, then there wouldn't be any problems in the 60s, 70s or today. But the British instead of respecting the wishes of the Cypriot people they instead enlisted the help of Turks to help them oppress our revolution for freedom. What created the problem was not enosis (otherwise Rhodes and Crete would have the same problem) but the refusal of the British to allow enosis and their collaboration with the Turks as the means of stopping enosis from happening so that the British could maintain bases and control over Cyprus.
What happened in 1913 and 1947 was then: The situation was was very different in 1955. In 1913 you had a regime that was in state of collapse and where Crete had been effectively removed from Ottoman Control some years earlier, through great power intervention. in 1947 Turkey, which despite being neutral for most of the war had suffered hardship due to the effects on trade, was facing threats from Russia and did not want to upset Nato by vetoing the transfer of Rhodes from Italy to Greece. However by 1955 Turkey was well underway in building its military strength and for its own military geopolitical reasons was not going to allow enosis. They were not going to give Greece a base that would allow them to dominate their southern coast.
Read this:
http://www.britains-smallwars.com/cyprus/Davidcarter/againstconspiracy/againstconspiracy.html In any event you dodge the issue: Crete (and Greece generally) probably remains relatively poor compared to Cyprus: I understand average wages are possibly two to three times higher and Cyprus only has the wealth it has today because it is independent. Cypriots (Greek Cypriots in particular ) are probably richer as a result. I believe that without the independence any such wealth, if had been generated in the first place in a Cyprus unified with Greece would have ended up in Athens , not in Cyprus. For starters so much administration would be done from Athens, both in the Government and private sectors and so many of the office jobs would never have existed: what would be left would be a limited amount of clerical work, some light industry, possibly even less than there is now, but mostly agriculture and Tourism and associated jobs which are not good payers. The young go getters would get up and go in even bigger numbers.
Cypriots would otherwise be competing against every other part of Greece for the roads and hospitals and schools, etc.
Makarios was therefore wise to give up on Enosis, particularly if he realised it would result in what happened in 1974 when Greece and then Turkey invaded.