Bağış also warned the Greek Cypriots that the Turkish Cypriots, running their own state in the north of the island, could be internationally recognized as an independent state if they continue to drag feet in negotiations for a settlement on the island. “Turkey has a certain amount of leverage. There are countries waiting for a signal to recognize the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus [KKTC], to initiate diplomatic relations with it,” he said.
Kossovo's UDI increased speculation that this could happen in 2008, but it is impossible. For a start, there is a UN Resolution that
prohibits recognition. Recognition is therefore against International law, and this resolution cannot be rescinded. Even if the US were to support recognition, and there is no evidence that it would, the other UN Security Council members will not, particularly China, Russia, France and Britain. Apart from the problems, France and Britain will face in recognising the forced division of an EU member state, Russia and China will always support the territorial integrity and sovereignty of states and will block any attempt to overturn the UN Resolution.
Additionally, the fact that Cyprus is a member of the EU, makes the likelihood of recognition very unlikely as it would be politically
costly for any country to establish any formal ties. Even if there was an inclination to do so by certain OIC States such as Azerbaijan for instance, there is no doubt that such a move will create political turmoil. Even if the EU would not enforce any sanctions against such a state, that particular state's relations with the EU will nosedive, and the political, and financial fallout from this would be devastating.
So this talk of recognition is nothing but hot air from Gul. The only other option would be to annex the occupied area, which is possible but only if Turkey gives up on the EU, and even then there will be a huge economic and political cost to Turkey. Let's not forget that the Turkish economy is heavily reliant on the EU, and without the EU, Turkey will crumble.