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Re: greek mess

Postby GreekIslandGirl » Mon May 21, 2012 9:41 pm

cyprusgrump wrote:
GreekIslandGirl wrote:Alexis Tsipras interviewed by The Guardian (today's).

Very interesting and I recommend it to everyone to read:


HS: Is your enemy Germany?

AT: No, no, not at all. The war that we are experiencing is not between nations and peoples. On the one side, there are workers and a majority of people, and on the other are global capitalists, bankers, profiteers on stock exchanges, the big funds. It's a war between peoples and capitalism, and Greece is on the frontline of that war. And, as in each war, what happens on the frontline defines the battle. It will be decisive for the war elsewhere. Greece has become a model for the rest of Europe because it was chosen as the experiment for the application of neoliberal shock [policies], and Greek people were the guinea pigs.


http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/ma ... iew-syriza


So, the Greek government has spent money like it was going out of style for decades and now that the well has run dry, it’s the well’s fault? You can’t wax lyrical about “the cradle of democracy” then turn round and blame someone else when the moussaka hits the fan.

Who voted for successive profligate governments, year after year? Who told the Greek government to borrow more money than it could afford to pay back in order that they might have paid public holidays, Olympic Games, and Christ knows what all else? They could have voted for small-government, fiscally-responsible, liberals who would have tried to change that (reducing the tax evasion problem into the bargain, as per Laffer).

They, in general, didn’t.

Paraphrased from here.


No doubt a lot of money ended up in the wrong places but that's the same story the world over. Looking at Greece over the last decade or so - I have seen massive changes; not only due to size-able spending on the Olympics (as every dig entailed more money on retrieving antiquities) and new metro, but also the new roads (especially in the Peloponnese) and tunnel building, beautiful bridges, not to mention the money going to finance defence against Turkey. It's easy for some to overlook these positives.

Tax evasion is probably worse in the UK as so many resort to overseas interests and offshore accounts and in over 20 years, not a single plumber, electrician, builder etc ever gave me a receipt if I was paying by cash otherwise they upped the price if I asked for one. Don't even start with the comparisons because the big economies are the worst offenders and the best at playing innocent. Meanwhile, Greece is being used as a guinea-pigs because everyone knows how resilient they are and if they can break the Greeks - they can then break anyone.

Besides the UK has been printing money whereas the Greeks had good growth. And let's not forget the fiasco with the ERM in 1992 :roll:


In politics and economics, Black Wednesday refers to the events of 16 September 1992 when the British Conservative government was forced to withdraw the pound sterling from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) after they were unable to keep it above its agreed lower limit. George Soros, the most high profile of the currency market investors, made over US$1 billion profit by short selling sterling.
In 1997 the UK Treasury estimated the cost of Black Wednesday at £3.4 billion, with the actual cost being £3.3 billion which was revealed in 2005 under the Freedom of Information Act (FoI).[1]
The trading losses in August and September were estimated at £800 million, but the main loss to taxpayers arose because the devaluation could have made them a profit. The papers show that if the government had maintained $24 billion foreign currency reserves and the pound had fallen by the same amount, the UK would have made a £2.4 billion profit on sterling's devaluation.[2] Newspapers also revealed that the Treasury spent £27 billion of reserves in propping up the pound.
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Re: greek mess

Postby cyprusgrump » Tue May 22, 2012 9:03 am

GreekIslandGirl wrote:
cyprusgrump wrote:
GreekIslandGirl wrote:Alexis Tsipras interviewed by The Guardian (today's).

Very interesting and I recommend it to everyone to read:


HS: Is your enemy Germany?

AT: No, no, not at all. The war that we are experiencing is not between nations and peoples. On the one side, there are workers and a majority of people, and on the other are global capitalists, bankers, profiteers on stock exchanges, the big funds. It's a war between peoples and capitalism, and Greece is on the frontline of that war. And, as in each war, what happens on the frontline defines the battle. It will be decisive for the war elsewhere. Greece has become a model for the rest of Europe because it was chosen as the experiment for the application of neoliberal shock [policies], and Greek people were the guinea pigs.


http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/ma ... iew-syriza


So, the Greek government has spent money like it was going out of style for decades and now that the well has run dry, it’s the well’s fault? You can’t wax lyrical about “the cradle of democracy” then turn round and blame someone else when the moussaka hits the fan.

Who voted for successive profligate governments, year after year? Who told the Greek government to borrow more money than it could afford to pay back in order that they might have paid public holidays, Olympic Games, and Christ knows what all else? They could have voted for small-government, fiscally-responsible, liberals who would have tried to change that (reducing the tax evasion problem into the bargain, as per Laffer).

They, in general, didn’t.

Paraphrased from here.


No doubt a lot of money ended up in the wrong places but that's the same story the world over. Looking at Greece over the last decade or so - I have seen massive changes; not only due to size-able spending on the Olympics (as every dig entailed more money on retrieving antiquities) and new metro, but also the new roads (especially in the Peloponnese) and tunnel building, beautiful bridges, not to mention the money going to finance defence against Turkey. It's easy for some to overlook these positives.

Tax evasion is probably worse in the UK as so many resort to overseas interests and offshore accounts and in over 20 years, not a single plumber, electrician, builder etc ever gave me a receipt if I was paying by cash otherwise they upped the price if I asked for one. Don't even start with the comparisons because the big economies are the worst offenders and the best at playing innocent. Meanwhile, Greece is being used as a guinea-pigs because everyone knows how resilient they are and if they can break the Greeks - they can then break anyone.

Besides the UK has been printing money whereas the Greeks had good growth. And let's not forget the fiasco with the ERM in 1992 :roll:


In politics and economics, Black Wednesday refers to the events of 16 September 1992 when the British Conservative government was forced to withdraw the pound sterling from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) after they were unable to keep it above its agreed lower limit. George Soros, the most high profile of the currency market investors, made over US$1 billion profit by short selling sterling.
In 1997 the UK Treasury estimated the cost of Black Wednesday at £3.4 billion, with the actual cost being £3.3 billion which was revealed in 2005 under the Freedom of Information Act (FoI).[1]
The trading losses in August and September were estimated at £800 million, but the main loss to taxpayers arose because the devaluation could have made them a profit. The papers show that if the government had maintained $24 billion foreign currency reserves and the pound had fallen by the same amount, the UK would have made a £2.4 billion profit on sterling's devaluation.[2] Newspapers also revealed that the Treasury spent £27 billion of reserves in propping up the pound.
wiki



Sadly the Greeks have discovered that you can't eat roads, bridges or metro systems - no matter how beautiful they are...

And I'd have thought that the ERM fiasco would have been the clearest message that being tied to the €uro with no control over the rate was a disaster in waiting...?
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Re: greek mess

Postby observer » Tue May 22, 2012 9:52 am

kimon07 wrote:
observer wrote:
And if you count the valid votes, you will find that most REAL Turkish Cypriots voted against it.


At the risk of creeping away from the subject of the thread, how can you possibly know this unless you discount it being a secret ballot and were counting the votes yourself. :roll:


Quite simple.

The valid votes counted in the TC referendum were 119,619.
77,646 Yes and
41,973 Nos.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cypriot_An ... 04#Results

I estimate that AT LEAST half of them (60,000) came from settlers and that all settlers voted as instructed by Turkey, i.e. Yes. So, if you take out from the 77,646 “valid” Yes votes let’s say 60,000 illegitimate ones, (belonging to settlers), what remains are 17,646 Yes and 41,973 Nos. Even if you tell me that the illegitimate votes did not exceed 40.000, again the Nos prevail (37,646 Yes - 41,973 Nos). Unless you believe that there were settlers who voted NO??
Conclusion The TCs voted against the plan.


Thank you for clearing up that small matter.

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: greek mess

Postby GreekIslandGirl » Tue May 22, 2012 12:01 pm

cyprusgrump wrote:
GreekIslandGirl wrote:
cyprusgrump wrote:
GreekIslandGirl wrote:Alexis Tsipras interviewed by The Guardian (today's).

Very interesting and I recommend it to everyone to read:


HS: Is your enemy Germany?

AT: No, no, not at all. The war that we are experiencing is not between nations and peoples. On the one side, there are workers and a majority of people, and on the other are global capitalists, bankers, profiteers on stock exchanges, the big funds. It's a war between peoples and capitalism, and Greece is on the frontline of that war. And, as in each war, what happens on the frontline defines the battle. It will be decisive for the war elsewhere. Greece has become a model for the rest of Europe because it was chosen as the experiment for the application of neoliberal shock [policies], and Greek people were the guinea pigs.


http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/ma ... iew-syriza


So, the Greek government has spent money like it was going out of style for decades and now that the well has run dry, it’s the well’s fault? You can’t wax lyrical about “the cradle of democracy” then turn round and blame someone else when the moussaka hits the fan.

Who voted for successive profligate governments, year after year? Who told the Greek government to borrow more money than it could afford to pay back in order that they might have paid public holidays, Olympic Games, and Christ knows what all else? They could have voted for small-government, fiscally-responsible, liberals who would have tried to change that (reducing the tax evasion problem into the bargain, as per Laffer).

They, in general, didn’t.

Paraphrased from here.


No doubt a lot of money ended up in the wrong places but that's the same story the world over. Looking at Greece over the last decade or so - I have seen massive changes; not only due to size-able spending on the Olympics (as every dig entailed more money on retrieving antiquities) and new metro, but also the new roads (especially in the Peloponnese) and tunnel building, beautiful bridges, not to mention the money going to finance defence against Turkey. It's easy for some to overlook these positives.

Tax evasion is probably worse in the UK as so many resort to overseas interests and offshore accounts and in over 20 years, not a single plumber, electrician, builder etc ever gave me a receipt if I was paying by cash otherwise they upped the price if I asked for one. Don't even start with the comparisons because the big economies are the worst offenders and the best at playing innocent. Meanwhile, Greece is being used as a guinea-pigs because everyone knows how resilient they are and if they can break the Greeks - they can then break anyone.

Besides the UK has been printing money whereas the Greeks had good growth. And let's not forget the fiasco with the ERM in 1992 :roll:


In politics and economics, Black Wednesday refers to the events of 16 September 1992 when the British Conservative government was forced to withdraw the pound sterling from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) after they were unable to keep it above its agreed lower limit. George Soros, the most high profile of the currency market investors, made over US$1 billion profit by short selling sterling.
In 1997 the UK Treasury estimated the cost of Black Wednesday at £3.4 billion, with the actual cost being £3.3 billion which was revealed in 2005 under the Freedom of Information Act (FoI).[1]
The trading losses in August and September were estimated at £800 million, but the main loss to taxpayers arose because the devaluation could have made them a profit. The papers show that if the government had maintained $24 billion foreign currency reserves and the pound had fallen by the same amount, the UK would have made a £2.4 billion profit on sterling's devaluation.[2] Newspapers also revealed that the Treasury spent £27 billion of reserves in propping up the pound.
wiki



Sadly the Greeks have discovered that you can't eat roads, bridges or metro systems - no matter how beautiful they are...

And I'd have thought that the ERM fiasco would have been the clearest message that being tied to the €uro with no control over the rate was a disaster in waiting...?


They can't eat roads and bridges but they need them to deliver the food which can be eaten! So what's your point? You condemn them as wasting money and not using it for purpose, and then you condemn them for improving resources. :roll:

Again you isolate the UK and confirm it's not a team player. The Greeks have stated they are sacrifing towards an ideal of building up the (still very young) Euro (but already second strongest currency). As Tsipris stated, the US with the dollar is the model - where individual states are working together - but the dollar/USA had a lot longer to get to this stage. Britain will be left behind - hence its desperation to destroy the Euro. But I believe there were some reports a decade ago which suggested Britain wouldn't have met the criteria for entry even with massaged figures - and we know Britain is the arch-massager of figures as the mess they are in is far worse; yet their excellent PR allows them to borrow at a reduced rate and then fleece the Greeks with loans!

I still say, they should kick out those countries, like the UK, which want to be in the EU but are not committed to the Euro!
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Re: greek mess

Postby cyprusgrump » Tue May 22, 2012 12:18 pm

I guess my point is that they have wasted billions on pointless infrastructure projects (largely at the behest of the EU) that have been bought on credit. Are you suggesting that they were unable to deliver food before they built their beautiful bridges and subway systems? No.

Now they can’t pay back the money they have borrowed and people cannot afford to eat the food transported on their shiny new roads and bridges.…

Clearly, they will never be able to pay back what they have borrowed and the solution isn’t to borrow more.

The problem with the €uro is not its relative immaturity but that it can and never will work unless all of the €urozone countries accept full fiscal and eventual political union… That means your beloved Greece giving up her sovereignty and being ruled by unelected bureaucrats in Brussels.

The €uro will fail – it is just a matter of time.
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Re: greek mess

Postby GreekIslandGirl » Tue May 22, 2012 1:05 pm

cyprusgrump wrote:I guess my point is that they have wasted billions on pointless infrastructure projects (largely at the behest of the EU) that have been bought on credit. Are you suggesting that they were unable to deliver food before they built their beautiful bridges and subway systems? No.

Now they can’t pay back the money they have borrowed and people cannot afford to eat the food transported on their shiny new roads and bridges.…

Clearly, they will never be able to pay back what they have borrowed and the solution isn’t to borrow more.

The problem with the €uro is not its relative immaturity but that it can and never will work unless all of the €urozone countries accept full fiscal and eventual political union… That means your beloved Greece giving up her sovereignty and being ruled by unelected bureaucrats in Brussels.

The €uro will fail – it is just a matter of time.


Roads and bridges and subways to take people to work are NOT pointless infrastructure projects - things like the "Millennium Dome" in London were pointless projects as were many others. The infrastructure needed improving if they were were going for growth (which was doing well before they became guinea-pigs to the loan sharks and HFMs) - speaking to a manager of a high end supermarket in the UK some years back, he moaned how much they would prefer to obtain the superior Greek goods like figs, olives, olive oil, cheeses, yoghurts etc but they couldn't guarantee enough of them to be delivered. So the Greeks went for growth - their strength - and they were doing well. And exactly why they were hit hardest here, because Germany is NOT a team-player (just like the UK), and they want to have it all!

Regardless, you are now saying you can see where some of the spending went (and are trying to disapprove of the choices) whereas earlier it was all about the money going into the wrong hands. The evidence mounting up now is not that the Greeks have overspent (certainly not more than anyone else) but that they are being scapegoated for things that are acceptable everywhere else.

Carry on believing, or hoping, that the Euro will never work - because it's bad news for the dollar and sterling when it does!
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Re: greek mess

Postby cyprusgrump » Tue May 22, 2012 1:50 pm

GreekIslandGirl wrote:
Regardless, you are now saying you can see where some of the spending went (and are trying to disapprove of the choices) whereas earlier it was all about the money going into the wrong hands. The evidence mounting up now is not that the Greeks have overspent (certainly not more than anyone else) but that they are being scapegoated for things that are acceptable everywhere else.


Greek debt is ~160% of GDP! :lol:

Italy is 120%, Ireland 108%, etc. You can read the full list here.

Greece could not afford all those fancy bridges and infrastructure projects. :roll:

Now the only way out is to default on her debt, drop the €uro and devalue.

You can believe that it is everybody else's fault and that it will have a happy ending with the €uro being the powerhouse currency of the world if you like. But unless all of the €urozone countries accept full fiscal and eventual political union it isn't going to happen...

And I can't see Greece voting for that can you?
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Re: greek mess

Postby boomerang » Tue May 22, 2012 2:07 pm

cyprusgrump wrote:
GreekIslandGirl wrote:
Regardless, you are now saying you can see where some of the spending went (and are trying to disapprove of the choices) whereas earlier it was all about the money going into the wrong hands. The evidence mounting up now is not that the Greeks have overspent (certainly not more than anyone else) but that they are being scapegoated for things that are acceptable everywhere else.


Greek debt is ~160% of GDP! :lol:

Italy is 120%, Ireland 108%, etc. You can read the full list here.

Greece could not afford all those fancy bridges and infrastructure projects. :roll:

Now the only way out is to default on her debt, drop the €uro and devalue.

You can believe that it is everybody else's fault and that it will have a happy ending with the €uro being the powerhouse currency of the world if you like. But unless all of the €urozone countries accept full fiscal and eventual political union it isn't going to happen...

And I can't see Greece voting for that can you?


GIG all of a sudden is an expert on the greek economy...it ain't the bridges and roads and other infrastructure...its the humongous government at fault here...they need 10 boys to do a mans job...the not collecting of taxes via forcefull persecutions, pensions and retiremnts need to be put under a microscope, but rather than enforcing change, greece opted for extra 5 hrs for no work and now is asking the germans to work an extra 10 hrs to pay for all...
And I can't see Greece voting for that can you?


oh i can...it's called slave mentality...they're used to, dropping their pants...hence the foustanella...it kinda makes it a wholla lot easier... :lol:
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Re: greek mess

Postby GreekIslandGirl » Tue May 22, 2012 3:06 pm

Unlike the two of you, Boom and grump, I don't pretend to be an economics' expert which is why I question the reasons for the lies (politics) against Greece. I also don't have an anti-Greek agenda that is so strong and blind (unlike you two) that it would rather see Cyprus suffer through its links/alliance to Greece if only to delight briefly in seeing Greece badmouthed.

But you are both wrong, even with your economics:


http://www.cnbc.com/id/30308959/The_Wor ... ns?slide=1


Follow the slide show and weep!

15. Greece: 178.9%
External debt (as % of GDP): 178.9%

Gross external debt: $546.92 billion
2011 GDP (est.): $305.6 billion

External debt per capita: $50,792


14. Germany: 183.9%
External debt (as % of GDP): 183.9%

Gross external debt: $5.674 trillion
2011 GDP (est.): $3.085 trillion

External debt per capita: $69,788


2. United Kingdom: 451.4%
External debt (as % of GDP): 451.4%

Gross external debt: $10.157 trillion
2011 GDP (est.): $2.250 trillion

External debt per capita: $161,110


1. Ireland: 1,239%
External debt (as % of GDP): 1,239%

Gross external debt: $2.26 trillion
2011 GDP (est.): $182.1 billion

External debt per capita: $478,087


Now why is this thread about a "greek mess" and not about a "UK mess" where ZoC lives? Because he is like you two - only concerned with being anti-Greek.

You are all cloned sheep that think they are economics and political experts just because you support 100% anything bad said against Greece - you are so anti-Greek you cannot see straight!

Now go back to your anti-Greek forum, Boom, where your clones beg for your 'wisdom'.
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Re: greek mess

Postby cyprusgrump » Tue May 22, 2012 5:07 pm

Oh you do make me laugh with your hysterical accusations of us being anti-(your beloved) Greece! :lol:

Perhaps a Greek person could open your eyes to the size of the crisis and possible solution...?

Stavros Lygeros wrote:It took one publication saying that Germany was ready to agree to an additional loan of 60-65 billion euros for optimism to soar in Greece. Even the gasping Athens stock exchange perked up.

The truth, however, is that clouds continue to darken the horizon, as the memorandum is based on the assumption that by early 2012 Greece will be ready to return to the markets. The way things look right now, though, it is unlikely that the markets will be ready to open their doors to Greece.

In order for a default to be avoided, Greece needs to either restructure its debt or to receive additional loans. The European Central Bank rejects the idea of restructuring. The only option that is under consideration is a voluntary reprofiling to avoid triggering credit default swaps. This is the reason why the eurozone is increasingly warming to the solution of a new loan package.

But let us look at the issue in terms of numbers: Even on the off chance that Greece’s primary debt is completely wiped out, in 2012 it will have to pay some 52 billion euros (35 billion in mature bonds and 17 billion in interest), while it is expected to receive 12 billion euros from the troika. In 2013, Greece is not expecting to receive anything from the troika, but it will still need to pay approximately 44 billion euros (27 billion in mature bonds and 17 billion in interest). Basically, it needs to have more than 84 billion euros for the 2012-13 period alone, so even if it receives a loan of 60-65 billion euros, it will still have a shortfall of 20-25 billion. Ostensibly, this amount is supposed to be covered by privatizations and the sell-off of state assets.

Life, however, does not end in 2013. Where will Greece find the tens of billions of euros it need annually to service its massive debt? And what will happen after 2014, when the amount to cover interest rises?

The recipe of spending cuts cannot alone make Greece’s debt sustainable so that it can begin borrowing from the markets. Inclusion in the permanent European mechanism, meanwhile, will merely recycle rather than solve the problem by feeding speculation over Greece’s possible expulsion from the eurozone.

The revival of the Greek economy can be achieved only with a bold reform program and tidying up expenses and revenues, in combination with a major boost in the country’s potential through the exploitation of flagging growth potential on the one hand, and a debt haircut on the other.


Clicky

or Greek version Clicky
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