BirKibrisli wrote:A realistic solution,as far as I can see,will have to satisfy 2 conditions...
One: Safeguarding the TC political majority in the TC constituent state;
and
Two: Maintaining Turkey's guarantee...
Everything else will be negotiable,and with goodwill not impossible to agree upon...
And let me issue another warning to those who are threatening us with the status quo...The status quo will not remain the same for long...When Turkey finally closes the door on the EU,she will start agitating for the recognition of the trnc....With Turkey's growing influence in the region I wouldnt be surprised if certain friendly nations begin recognising and trading with the trnc...Then we can all kiss goddbye to any hopes of reunification...
BBF under the UNSC resolution gives the north state that majority power to the TCs, but to achieve that as I stated in my BBF plan, the north will need to give back at least 50% of the north to become part of the south state just to try and comply with the EU Principles. So far the north does not want to return very much, even if we are to ignore what Erdogan said recently of not giving a gram of the north back.
On Turkey's security, she has proved to be trustworthy to keep her commitments, but it does not mean there shouldn't be any security provided to give the TCs the security they need. NATO force could do just that. Of course, if Turkey does not want peace in Cyprus, she would insist that only she can provide security for the TCs and for the whole island. Turkey wants to provide "security" for the whole island as per what the AP had and what Eroglu has stated recently.
There is no way in the world Turkey would ask for recognition of the north, or else, she would have done it long time ago. Sure she wants the north to have direct trade with others just to take the burden off herself economically, but to ask for recognition is when Turkey will lose any hope of having any say so in the future on the whole island as well as losing any hope of being in the EU. Besides, major players will not allow the north to become recognised. That much is agreed on, if nothing else. Turkey does not have any say so in the RoC now and she does not like it one little bit when the RoC is making deals with neighbouring countries left and right. Imagine what would happen if there was an official partition.? The RoC would kick the British out and invite another country/countries into Cyprus to base their military, like Greece and Israel for example, which is what Turkey does not want. And for the TCs, where would they end up.? They will have their RoC citizenship's revoked and kicked out of the EU as EU citizens and left to defend for themselves amongst the swamp of settlers in the north. Not a very pretty picture my friend, specially for us TCs.!