An article in Politis says that if nothing happens in the talks on the Cyprus problem by November, the international community is considering two alternatives.
The paper says that according to people closely connected with the talks, few now believe that substantial progress can be achieved by that time, which is when the UN S-G is due to present his report on Cyprus.
Specualation as to what he might say in that report focus on two possibilities – he will either declare the Cyprus problem unsolvable and put an end to this phase, or he will look for a new framework for discussion. The first is considered to be the ‘tough’ choice and least likely, while the second opens the doors to a multi-lateral conference and a massive give and take bargaining which would probably lead to a negotiated partition as opposed to an overall solution as sought today.
The key to the success or otherwise of the current phase, the UN believes, is the property issue and are waiting to see the outcome of the negotiations between the leaders on this issue. If Christofias and Eroglu manage to find the golden mean in the property issue (something that few believe they can), then the other aspects of the Cyprus problem will fall into place. The two leaders are committed to present new proposals on property in September, while Downer’s team has examined ideas that should bridge a a number of the existing differences. Progress here would favourably influence Ban Ki-Moon’s report, whereas failure would set in motion one of the two other scenarios.