bill cobbett wrote:CopperLine
You wrote about the relatively low amounts of goods by value crossing through the GLR, and must agree but pre-EU it was about zero and it is increasing.
Let me throw back a hypothetical question at you, one based on your argument above.
If there were no economic restrictions, none of the economic reliance on Turkey, are you saying to me that all my tissy friends would jump out of Turkey's bed and in to bed with the RoC?
Politics, in my view, is governed mostly by interests. I think therefore that, on the whole, people tend not to bite the hand that feeds and, conversely, when caught between "principle" and living for another day, they'll do the latter. Following those ideas I think one can get along way in explaining both GC and TC behaviour to the Cyprus problem. In the TCs' case, broadly speaking, what supports them is Turkey and what has been hostile to their interests has been the RoC. (You and I might come to the fanciest arguments as to why TCs should not be so fearful of RoC or so in hock to Turkey, but that is not the point. The point is that TCs have strong reasons and much historical evidence to think that their interests are served by T and not RoC). You could try and change TC perceptions or you could change the structure of interests. Again broadly speaking, the structure of interests for TCs is firmly in favour of Turkey. As far as I can see the RoC strategy is reducible to waiting for Turkey to tire of supporting TRNC. Maybe it will work, but past record of 36 years is that it hasn't.