CopperLine wrote:One of the (many) costs to GCs of voting down the AP was to give yet more time for the demographic composition of northern Cyprus to be changed against TCs. In addition, given that Turkish 'settlers' tend to politically support the nationalist right, the effect was to make a negotiated settlement of the Cyprus Problem even more difficult and more unlikely.
What more can we say ? No settlement package is ever going to be perfect:the best any side will get is that it is the least bad. AP had big problems for sure, but now a solution is even further away than ever and receding as fast.
One thing is, I think clear, if there is a settlement, the EU is *not* going to oversee a mass deportation of so-called settlers. The only question remains is that of what status 'settlers' and their children will have in a post-settlement Cyprus.
CopperLine, when you talk about mass deportation of the settlers, they will only be moving 50 miles or so to their own country. That is far less a distance (each way) than most Americans drive to work each day. But should the EU insist that they should stay, then without being citizens of Cyprus, they will be treated like 3rd class illegal aliens and denied good job opportunities at every turn, both by the GCs and the TCs.
If there was a settlement, I think the problem will solve itself if these settlers were to start paying rent to the free properties most occupy now and along with low prospects for good income to support themselves, they would return back to Turkey. Once there is a settlement in place and the north begins to prosper, it will become more expensive to live in the north than it is now. I can't see how these settlers are going to survive when treated as 3rd class illegal aliens.
As for the AP, had it passed, Cyprus would be swarmed by more settlers today, except they would have been able to obtain citizenships of Cyprus, issued by the north confederation Turkish state by the settlers fulfilling basics requirements, or through corrupt dealings to issue them for cash.