by halil » Mon Jun 14, 2010 7:43 am
Time running out for Cyprus
Makarios Droushiotis writing in Politis says that hopes for an agreed solution to the Cyprus problem are evaporating, not just in the minds of Cypriots but foreign observers as well. He says thoughts are now turning to Plan B, ie how Cyprus will be after the problem has been declared unsolvable.
This past week the G/C side did all it could to prevent the UN Security Council from adopting the UN S-G’s statement in his last report that he would be promoting the “objective aim” of reaching a solution by the end of 2010, that he would be “closely monitoring progress in the forthcoming months” and that he would be submitting another report by November.
What is important about all this is that the UN S-G has decided to put an end to the process once and for all either by a solution or by declaring a deadlock. It seems that the UN does not agree with President Christofias that the talks don’t have a deadline. Noone can force the UN to continue their good offices mission in Cyprus if they feel the process is useless. This is the message coming from the UN, but it seems it is falling on deaf ears in Nicosia. Clearly from various statements from UN officials their message is that the talks must be completed by the end of the year and the whole process will be evaluated in November. If there is no hope, the UN will disengage.
The two sides have already started playing the blame game. Christofias is trying to show that Eroglu is being intransigent, while the Turkish side, has brought Eroglu under control and accused the G/C side of delaying tactics.
The Turkish side seems determined for a repeat of 2004 and is committed to a solution by the end of the year. They are committed to the UN parametres for a solution and made sure that Eroglu tows the line. If the talks don’t go anywhere, at some point they will ask Downer to submit bridging proposals. In this case the pressure will be on the G/C side to reject them or not. The Turkish side has an advantage. The fact that it accepted the Annan plan and its desire to repeat this knowing that the G/C side has no room for manoevre.
The G/C side is in a spot. The more it demonises the UN parametres, the more it loses sight of reality. It focused all its efforts on a process with no deadline, which together with other refusals, gives the impression to outsiders that it is following a delaying tactics. This inflexibility has not gone down well abroad where no country, not even those friendly to Cyprus like France, Russia and even Greece, believes that Turkey is intransigent. On the contrary it is felt that it is Cyprus which is employing time wasting tactics.