Bir, interesting post - thanks for raising it.
The comment on the Cyprus problem was not the only thing people were voting for is very valid and lost in the context of the focus of this forum sometimes. CTP did not do what it had promised outside of the Cyprus problem and Talat with 100% focus on Cyp prob was not able to achieve his objectives. There was a need for change.
The comment on TCs wanting the easy in to EU is really off key. The plan was sensible in their eyes and EU entry for TCs meant an expectation of rights being upheld as without it the risk would remain.
We can say poor management of responsibilities is fundamental to the vote. Talat lacked providing greater inclusion. The wispers of what was being discussed that would effect all TCs without any clarity for the population was uncomfortable.
But as Bir asked, what has happened between 2004-2009?
As it relates to the solution, the insistence of nothing is agreed until everything is agreed has meant no progress has effectively been made in how the two parts can work together.
The bi-communal initiatives that started strong with well meaning have not really taken major root. Their impact has been vastly offset by the other factors such as the property cases, the continued objections to anything representative of the north.
In a previous note the number of TCs moving to the south has not been increasing.
From an economic perspective the green line ruling that was meant to be temporary has remained stagnant. The volume of trade has steadily increased but still remains lopsided towards spending in the south by GCs. The impact of earning propensity for the north has not significantly benefitted from it.
GCs have had no movement on their properties being returned or a land adjustment being made.
The dialogue between the leading figures is far from concilliatory. The mainstream media continues to find better mileage out of vilification.
MPs abroad are lobbied on a zero-sum basis when you look at the partisan nature of the majority of comments.
Basically I see the movement has been aggressively diverging rather than finding convergence. In 2003-04, before EU entry of south and conciliatory movement from north, the energy was very positive. This has been stymied by the Papad vision of EU will fully legitimise south claims and thereafter defensive posturing being taken in the north.