Kikapu wrote:And who is going to be the judge and jury as to who decides what is justified and what is not in not returning the property back. Surely it's not going to be the IPC or the courts in the north. It will be at the door steps of the ECHR.
If the IPC deems that it is not possible to return the property and the claimaint disagrees then it will go to the ECHR. Over time it will be established what is and is not valid grounds. There will be cases were the IPC deems that the propterty can not be returned and the ECHR agrees that this is a fair determination. There may be substantial numbers of such cases.
Kikapu wrote:Who cares. If he can get restitution from the current user through the RoC courts at premium awards levied against the property of the users property in the south, why not do it. It will be much faster and easier, and he continues to maintain the rights for his property in the north to be acquired at another time. In the meantime, he gets money into his pocket all a while the TC will lose part or all of his land in the south to pay off claims brought on by the GC whose land is used in the north. When all else fails, the GCs will have the Orams judgement to fall back onto.
I am not sure that you assesment of how easy and chaep it will be to get a RoC ruling for tresspass, then apply to EU court outside of the RoC to enforce the judgement against threat of siezing of assets in that state is as as you think it is. If the volume of such cases gets into the 100s or beyond then it will only take longer and longer and invetibaly cost more and more. Again pursuing this option will alievate trnc/turkey of having to pay compensation for loss of use to that claimant. Ultimately if the claimant is happy with the current maket prices of compensation then the IPC would be the better route, in that it is a single procedure that addresses the compensation for the property itself and the loss of use claim as well and it is not a legal court and thus whilst specialsit advice may be worth paying for it will not be as much as laywers charge to bring a court case.
Kikapu wrote:So far you have not seen a big rush to go after the TCs, other than perhaps going after the corporations run by the TCs/Turks, but not on individual themselves,...
and the reasons for this are nothing to do with GC compassion for TC so lets not pretend otherwise.
Kikapu wrote:... but this will all change on a dime if they now believe that the IPC will only offer them compensation on their property at much less value than what it will be once a settlement is found.
They do not have to imagine anything. The terms under which the IPC operate are know and have been 'validited' by the ECHR. If monetary compensation is the prefered option it will be at todays market prices. If return is the prefred option it will not be a guaranteed right, it may be refused. There is nothing to 'believe'. There is the IPC and the terms under which it operates and thats it. Some interpretation of the fine detail of those terms may lead to ECHR rulings but the terms themselves including 'todays market value' and 'no automatic guarantee of return if prefered' are the terms it operates under and the ECHR as deemed as fair.
Kikapu wrote: I think you will find many will only resort to taking the TCs to the "cleaners" as a last resort by the GCs.
The idea that Orams style cases represent an ability to 'take TC to the cleaners' is an false notion in itself. Firstly the Orams route is only usable if the person being claimed against has EU assets. The actual sums awarded were relatively trivial. Should they rise to silly amounts in future RoC ruling that would only call in question the credibility of the RoC courts and open the way to ECHR rulings on such amounts. The requirement to leave the property would be burdnesome but would not 'take the user to the cleaners'. The person using the property under such a senario would also have an expectation of help or redress from the TRNC or the option of leagl action against it if that is not forthcomming.
Certainly persuing the current user for trespass would inconvience that user but not 'destroy them' and produce some relative modest compensation for loss of use vs cost of bringing such action. From what I can see of the amounts awarded in the Orams case for loss of use caused by the trespass by the Orams they are significantly less than what the ECHR has awarded and the IPC is offering aginst Turkey.
Kikapu wrote: If there is a chance for a lasting peace, than I can't see it happening, but if not and the constant "last chance for peace" claims by made the north at every opportunity, then at some point, the GC may take the TCs to the "cleaners" through the RoC courts.
The idea that indivduals will make their choices based on a belief that lasting peace is or is not possible and how their indivdual actions may or may not affect that is nonsense in my opinion. If GC look at the amounts awarded to plantiff in the Orams case and see that for 'loss of use' they are less than the IPC awards and can get a settlement via the IPC they are happy with, they will choose that route because to do otherwise is stupid.
Again this 'cleaners' nonsense. Look at the amounts awarded. If the defendant in such a case does not challenge the court case, he simply pays these relatively modest amounts, of which the person bringing the case laywers will take thier cut and the rest will go to the plantiff.
Kikapu wrote: Just like in the Orams case, the losing part can be made to pay off most of the legal fees by the losing party...
If the defndant does not challenge the case and argue their innocence then costs against them can not be awarded. The cost of bringing such a civil case rests with the person bringing it. It is only if you 'fight' the case that costs get awarded in such cases.
Kikapu wrote:The RoC can tailor the law as it wants that would benefit the plaintiff, in which case it will be the GCs.
You can not 'tailor the law' to benefit a plantiff, and certainly not because of ethnic nature of who is a plantiff and who is defendant in such laws and expect anything other than the credibility of the RoC justice system being destoryed and ending up in the ECHR.
Kikapu wrote:According to the ECHR, it is not the TCs and the "trnc" that any and all "vindictive attacks" by the GCs will be against their economy in the north, but it will be against the occupying power, Turkey.
That is just rubbish. The defdant in the Orams case was specificaly NOT Turkey and the effect of it is that it has actualy removed Turkeys liability for loss of use for that property by seeking compenstation for that loss not from Turkey but from the indivdual users.
Kikapu wrote: The ECHR made it very clear, that the "trnc" does not exists and only the occupying power does, therefore, any and all "vindictive attacks" by the GCs to the North's economy that does not exists anyway, will be directed at Turkey and no one else.
You are off in fantasy land. Action agsint INDVDUALS is action agsint indviduals. In fact not only is it NOT action against Turkey it actual removes Turkey's liability partialy by choosing to seek redress from the indivdual.
Eventualy all the options available to GC that have lost property in the north will be available to TC that have lost property in the south once the RoC finally catches up and offers a local remedy that the ECHR accepts as valid for TC deprived use of their property by the ROC. We may even see a case for trespass against indivduals using TC property in the South. Certainly the RoC courts will deem such use to not be trespass, but it is far from clear that the ECHR would agree with that view.