YFred wrote:Turkey is where she wants to be and happy with it. There are more immediate dangers you are oblivious to which suddenly will materialise and the international community will choose Turkey over Cyprus. She is too powerful and she knows it.
Let me expand. Overconfidence led Turkey to believe it would win the Orams case in the EU and British courts. It suffered a huge setback that has serious implications if Turkey continues its current policy on Cyprus. No-one is saying it's over. But everything is up in the air again.
Turkey is not too powerful that it can't be sued and it can't prevent the "trnc" from sinking into further isolation and ruin. It can't tell the Europeans it ought to be allowed into the EU on its terms. For sure Turkey has troops in Cyprus. But can it exercise its will over the ROC? Can it even pursue a policy in northern Cyprus when territory and property in the north are under the legal jurisdiction of ROC courts? Maybe Turkey is as powerful as you say. But is it powerful enough to get its way on Cyprus?
What exactly can Turkey do on Cyprus that will lead to recognition and economic prosperity for the north and legal and diplomatic immunity from the courts? What is this plan that Turkey is holding back? And why hasn't it used it before now?
You see, Fred, for your analysis to hold water, you must ignore the predicament that Turkey finds itself in over Cyprus. This is emphatically not where Turkey wants to be on Cyprus. The "trnc" is an albatross around Turkey's neck. It's not all going smoothly and to plan, despite what you say.